| DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15) |
| 5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).
In the first round, the first choices on each ballot are tallied.
Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom) has enough votes to guarantee victory and is declared a winner. To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking, if possible. This is actually done by counting a fraction of the ballots most recently counted for the winning candidate.
Next Round
| DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15) |
| 5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
| Round 2 |
|
|
 |
16.7% |
|
| Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom) |
7.3 |
(16.7%) |
|
| Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican) |
14.0 |
(31.8%) |
|
| Cory Nott, Computer Programmer (Libertarian) |
5.0 |
(11.4%) |
|
| Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic) |
7.3 |
(16.6%) |
|
| Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican) |
3.0 |
(6.8%) |
|
| Mark DeSaulnier, Contra Costa County Supervisor (Democratic) |
1.0 |
(2.3%) |
|
| Mary Hayashi, Registered Nursing Boardmember (Democratic) |
1.0 |
(2.3%) |
|
| Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic) |
5.4 |
(12.2%) |
|
| | | |
|
| Results |
|
Redistributed Votes (to these colors) |
| Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican) |
Elected |
|
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).
Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory and is declared a winner. To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking, if possible. This is actually done by counting a fraction of the ballots most recently counted for the winning candidate.
Next Round
| DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15) |
| 5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
| Round 3 |
|
|
|
16.7% |
|
| Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom) |
7.3 |
(16.7%) |
|
| Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican) |
7.3 |
(16.7%) |
|
| Cory Nott, Computer Programmer (Libertarian) |
5.0 |
(11.4%) |
|
| Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic) |
7.3 |
(16.6%) |
|
| Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican) |
5.8 |
(13.1%) |
|
| Mark DeSaulnier, Contra Costa County Supervisor (Democratic) |
2.1 |
(4.8%) |
|
| Mary Hayashi, Registered Nursing Boardmember (Democratic) |
1.0 |
(2.3%) |
|
| Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic) |
5.4 |
(12.2%) |
|
| Jill Buck, Nonprofit Executive Director (Republican) |
2.8 |
(6.3%) |
|
| | | |
|
| Results |
|
Redistributed Votes (to these colors) |
| Mary Hayashi, Registered Nursing Boardmember (Democratic) |
Defeated |
|
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).
The last-place candidate (Mary Hayashi, Registered Nursing Boardmember (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Next Round
| DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15) |
| 5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
| Round 4 |
|
|
|
16.7% |
|
| Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom) |
7.3 |
(16.7%) |
|
| Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican) |
7.3 |
(16.7%) |
|
| Cory Nott, Computer Programmer (Libertarian) |
5.0 |
(11.4%) |
|
| Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic) |
8.3 |
(18.9%) |
|
| Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican) |
5.8 |
(13.1%) |
|
| Mark DeSaulnier, Contra Costa County Supervisor (Democratic) |
2.1 |
(4.8%) |
|
| Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic) |
5.4 |
(12.2%) |
|
| Jill Buck, Nonprofit Executive Director (Republican) |
2.8 |
(6.3%) |
|
| | | |
|
| Results |
|
Redistributed Votes (to these colors) |
| Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic) |
Elected |
|
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).
Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic) has enough votes to guarantee victory and is declared a winner. To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking, if possible. This is actually done by counting a fraction of the ballots most recently counted for the winning candidate.
Next Round
| DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15) |
| 5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
| Round 5 |
|
|
|
16.7% |
|
| Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom) |
7.3 |
(16.7%) |
|
| Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican) |
7.3 |
(16.7%) |
|
| Cory Nott, Computer Programmer (Libertarian) |
5.0 |
(11.4%) |
|
| Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic) |
7.3 |
(16.7%) |
|
| Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican) |
5.8 |
(13.1%) |
|
| Mark DeSaulnier, Contra Costa County Supervisor (Democratic) |
2.1 |
(4.8%) |
|
| Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic) |
6.3 |
(14.4%) |
|
| Jill Buck, Nonprofit Executive Director (Republican) |
2.8 |
(6.3%) |
|
| | | |
|
| Results |
|
Redistributed Votes (to these colors) |
| Mark DeSaulnier, Contra Costa County Supervisor (Democratic) |
Defeated |
|
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).
The last-place candidate (Mark DeSaulnier, Contra Costa County Supervisor (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Next Round
| DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15) |
| 5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).
The last-place candidate (Jill Buck, Nonprofit Executive Director (Republican)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Next Round
| DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15) |
| 5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).
Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory and is declared a winner. To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking, if possible. This is actually done by counting a fraction of the ballots most recently counted for the winning candidate.
Next Round
| DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15) |
| 5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).
A tie was resolved by comparing votes in previous rounds.
The last-place candidate (Cory Nott, Computer Programmer (Libertarian)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Next Round
| DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15) |
| 5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
an elected member's equal share of the votes (20% of counted votes).
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats,
so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.
Next Round
| DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15) |
| 5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
an elected member's equal share of the votes (20% of counted votes).
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats,
so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.
Next Round
| DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15) |
| 5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
an elected member's equal share of the votes (20% of counted votes).
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats,
so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.
Next Round
| DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15) |
| 5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
an elected member's equal share of the votes (20% of counted votes).
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats,
so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.
Next Round
| DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15) |
| 5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
| Round 13 |
|
|
|
20% |
|
| Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom) |
8.8 |
(20.0%) |
|
| Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican) |
8.8 |
(20.0%) |
|
| Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic) |
8.8 |
(20.0%) |
|
| Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican) |
8.8 |
(20.0%) |
|
| Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic) |
8.8 |
(20.0%) |
|
| | | |
|
| Results |
|
| Arne Simonsen, Antioch City Council Member (Republican) | Elected | |
| Loni Hancock, Incumbent (Democratic) | Elected | |
| Guy Houston, Businessman/State Legislator (Republican) | Elected | |
| Sandre Swanson, Trustee, Pension Fund (Democratic) | Elected | |
| Edward Ytuarte, Radio Producer (Peace and Freedom) | Elected | |
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
an elected member's equal share of the votes (20% of counted votes).
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats,
so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
In the end, 100% of all cast ballots counted toward a winner. This compares to 95.5%
if only the first-round votes were used.
You should be able to see that the winners have a more equal mandate in the final round than in
the first round.
Note that even the "highest first-round votes" method is more democratic than most
methods used in US public elections: the "vote for 5" method, which
allows the largest block of voters to dominate, and the district method, where choices are restricted
to the one or two viable candidates within geographical boundaries drawn by the politicians in office.
The
Ballot Depth section shows how much lower rankings contributed to the tally.
| DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Oakland and Contra Costa (District 15) |
| 5 candidates will be elected with 44 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form:
First Round |
Final Round |
Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Ballot Depth: This shows how much the lower rankings on ballots contributed to the winning
candidates.
| Rank |
Fraction of votes for winners |
| 1st | 50.3% |
|
| 2nd | 30.6% |
|
| 3rd | 6.8% |
|
| 5th | 2.6% |
|
| 6th | 2.6% |
|
