DemoChoice Web Poll: Goldderby Expert Picks Nov 1st - 22nd
5 candidates will be elected with 26 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 1    
------------------ 16.7%
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)  13.0  (50.0%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB :BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)  10.0  (38.5%) 
CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC :CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC
Meryl Streep (The Post)  3.0  (11.5%) 
AAAAAAAAAAAA ______ :
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) Elected
AAAAAAAAAAA DDDDDDDDDDD FFFFFFFF GGGGG

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).

In the first round, the first choices on each ballot are tallied.
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) has enough votes to guarantee victory and is declared a winner. To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking, if possible. This is actually done by counting a fraction of the ballots most recently counted for the winning candidate.

New colors:
K
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)
 
K
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)
 
K
Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game)

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Goldderby Expert Picks Nov 1st - 22nd
5 candidates will be elected with 26 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 2    
------------------ 16.7%
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)  4.3  (16.7%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB :B
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)  10.0  (38.5%) 
CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC :CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC
Meryl Streep (The Post)  5.7  (21.8%) 
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA :AAAAAA
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)  2.7  (10.3%) 
DDDDDDDDDDD _______ :
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)  2.0  (7.7%) 
FFFFFFFFF _________ :
Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game)  1.3  (5.1%) 
GGGGGG ____________ :
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water) Elected
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD FF GG

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).

Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water) has enough votes to guarantee victory and is declared a winner. To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking, if possible. This is actually done by counting a fraction of the ballots most recently counted for the winning candidate.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Goldderby Expert Picks Nov 1st - 22nd
5 candidates will be elected with 26 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 3    
------------------- 16.7%
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)  4.3  (16.7%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB :
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)  4.3  (16.7%) 
CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC _ :
Meryl Streep (The Post)  5.7  (21.8%) 
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA :AAAAA
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)  7.2  (27.7%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD :DDDDDDDDDDD
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)  2.6  (9.9%) 
FFFFFFFFFF _________ :
Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game)  1.9  (7.3%) 
GGGGGGGG ___________ :
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Meryl Streep (The Post) Elected
FFFF G

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).

Meryl Streep (The Post) has enough votes to guarantee victory and is declared a winner. To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking, if possible. This is actually done by counting a fraction of the ballots most recently counted for the winning candidate.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Goldderby Expert Picks Nov 1st - 22nd
5 candidates will be elected with 26 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 4    
------------------- 16.7%
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)  4.3  (16.7%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB :
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)  4.3  (16.7%) 
CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC :
Meryl Streep (The Post)  4.3  (16.7%) 
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA :
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)  7.2  (27.7%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD :DDDDDDDDDDDD
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)  3.6  (13.7%) 
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFF ____ :
Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game)  2.2  (8.6%) 
GGGGGGGGGG _________ :
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird) Elected
EEEE FFFFF GG JJ

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).

Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird) has enough votes to guarantee victory and is declared a winner. To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking, if possible. This is actually done by counting a fraction of the ballots most recently counted for the winning candidate.

New colors:
K
Judi Dench (Victoria & Abdul)
 
K
Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes)

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Goldderby Expert Picks Nov 1st - 22nd
5 candidates will be elected with 26 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 5    
------------------- 16.7%
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)  4.3  (16.7%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB :
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)  4.3  (16.7%) 
CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC :
Meryl Streep (The Post)  4.3  (16.7%) 
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA _ :
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)  4.3  (16.7%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD :
Judi Dench (Victoria & Abdul)  1.1  (4.1%) 
EEEEE ______________ :
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)  4.6  (17.9%) 
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF :F
Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game)  2.6  (10.0%) 
GGGGGGGGGGG ________ :
Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes)  0.4  (1.4%) 
JJ _________________ :
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Judi Dench (Victoria & Abdul) Defeated
CCC H

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).

No new candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory, so the last-place candidate (Judi Dench (Victoria & Abdul)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

New colors:
K
Kate Winslet (Wonder Wheel)

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Goldderby Expert Picks Nov 1st - 22nd
5 candidates will be elected with 26 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 6    
------------------ 16.7%
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)  4.3  (16.7%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB :
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)  5.1  (19.4%) 
CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC :CCC
Meryl Streep (The Post)  4.3  (16.7%) 
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA :
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)  4.3  (16.7%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD :
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)  4.6  (17.9%) 
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF :FF
Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game)  2.6  (10.0%) 
GGGGGGGGGGG _______ :
Kate Winslet (Wonder Wheel)  0.4  (1.4%) 
H _________________ :
Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes)  0.4  (1.4%) 
JJ ________________ :
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game) Defeated
BBBBBBB CCC

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).

No new candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory, so the last-place candidate (Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Goldderby Expert Picks Nov 1st - 22nd
5 candidates will be elected with 26 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 7    
------------------ 16.7%
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)  6.0  (23.1%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB :BBBBBBB
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)  6.0  (23.0%) 
CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC :CCCCCCC
Meryl Streep (The Post)  4.3  (16.7%) 
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA :
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)  4.3  (16.7%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD :
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)  4.6  (17.9%) 
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF :F
Kate Winslet (Wonder Wheel)  0.4  (1.4%) 
HH ________________ :
Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes)  0.4  (1.4%) 
JJ ________________ :
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Kate Winslet (Wonder Wheel) Defeated
I

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).

No new candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory, so the last-place candidate (Kate Winslet (Wonder Wheel)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

New colors:
K
Daniela Vega (A Fantastic Woman)

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Goldderby Expert Picks Nov 1st - 22nd
5 candidates will be elected with 26 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 8    
------------------ 16.7%
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)  6.0  (23.1%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB :BBBBBBB
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)  6.0  (23.0%) 
CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC :CCCCCCC
Meryl Streep (The Post)  4.3  (16.7%) 
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA :
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)  4.3  (16.7%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD :D
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)  4.6  (17.9%) 
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF :F
Daniela Vega (A Fantastic Woman)  0.4  (1.4%) 
II ________________ :
Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes)  0.4  (1.4%) 
J _________________ :
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Daniela Vega (A Fantastic Woman) Defeated
CC

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).

No new candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory, so the last-place candidate (Daniela Vega (A Fantastic Woman)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Goldderby Expert Picks Nov 1st - 22nd
5 candidates will be elected with 26 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 9    
------------------- 16.7%
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)  6.0  (23.1%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB :BBBBBB
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)  6.3  (24.4%) 
CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC :CCCCCCCC
Meryl Streep (The Post)  4.3  (16.7%) 
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA :
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)  4.3  (16.7%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD _ :
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)  4.6  (17.9%) 
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF :F
Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes)  0.4  (1.4%) 
J __________________ :
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes) Defeated
C

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).

No new candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory, so the last-place candidate (Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Goldderby Expert Picks Nov 1st - 22nd
5 candidates will be elected with 26 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 10    
------------------ 16.7%
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)  6.0  (23.1%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB :BBBBBBB
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)  6.7  (25.7%) 
CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC :CCCCCCCCCC
Meryl Streep (The Post)  4.3  (16.7%) 
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA :A
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)  4.3  (16.7%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD :
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)  4.6  (17.9%) 
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF :F
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water) Elected
AA DDDD F

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).

Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water) has enough votes to guarantee victory and is declared a winner. To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking, if possible. This is actually done by counting a fraction of the ballots most recently counted for the winning candidate.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Goldderby Expert Picks Nov 1st - 22nd
5 candidates will be elected with 26 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 11    
------------------ 16.7%
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)  6.0  (23.1%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB :BBBBBBB
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)  5.2  (20.0%) 
CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC :CCCC
Meryl Streep (The Post)  4.9  (18.9%) 
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA :AAA
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)  5.1  (19.8%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD :DDD
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)  4.7  (18.2%) 
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF :FF
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) Elected
A DD FF

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).

Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) has enough votes to guarantee victory and is declared a winner. To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking, if possible. This is actually done by counting a fraction of the ballots most recently counted for the winning candidate.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Goldderby Expert Picks Nov 1st - 22nd
5 candidates will be elected with 26 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 12    
------------------- 16.7%
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)  5.2  (20.0%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB :BBB
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)  5.2  (20.0%) 
CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC :CCC
Meryl Streep (The Post)  5.1  (19.8%) 
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA :AA
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)  5.4  (20.9%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD :DDDD
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)  5.0  (19.2%) 
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF :FF
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird) Elected
F

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).

Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird) has enough votes to guarantee victory and is declared a winner. To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking, if possible. This is actually done by counting a fraction of the ballots most recently counted for the winning candidate.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Goldderby Expert Picks Nov 1st - 22nd
5 candidates will be elected with 26 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 13    
------------------- 16.7%
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)  5.2  (20.0%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB :BBB
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)  5.2  (20.0%) 
CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC :CCC
Meryl Streep (The Post)  5.3  (20.5%) 
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA :AAA
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)  5.2  (20.0%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD :DDD
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)  5.1  (19.5%) 
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF :FF
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Meryl Streep (The Post) Elected
F

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (16.7% of counted votes).

Meryl Streep (The Post) has enough votes to guarantee victory and is declared a winner. To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking, if possible. This is actually done by counting a fraction of the ballots most recently counted for the winning candidate.

next round Next Round














 
  
DemoChoice Web Poll: Goldderby Expert Picks Nov 1st - 22nd
5 candidates will be elected with 26 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 14    
---------------------- 20%
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)  5.2  (20.0%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB :
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)  5.2  (20.0%) 
CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC :
Meryl Streep (The Post)  5.2  (20.0%) 
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA :
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)  5.2  (20.0%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD :
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)  5.2  (20.0%) 
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF :
   
Results  
Meryl Streep (The Post)Elected 
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)Elected 
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)Elected 
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)Elected 
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)Elected 

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (20% of counted votes).

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
In the end, 100% of all cast ballots counted toward a winner. This compares to 100% if only the first-round votes were used. You should be able to see that the winners have a more equal mandate in the final round than in the first round.

Note that even the "highest first-round votes" method is more democratic than most methods used in US public elections: the "vote for 5" method, which allows the largest block of voters to dominate, and the district method, where choices are restricted to the one or two viable candidates within geographical boundaries drawn by the politicians in office.

The Ballot Depth section shows how much lower rankings contributed to the tally.
















 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Goldderby Expert Picks Nov 1st - 22nd
5 candidates will be elected with 26 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Final Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Ballot Depth: This shows how much the lower rankings on ballots contributed to the winning candidates.

Rank Fraction of votes for winners
1st 51.5% 
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
2nd 10.0% 
XXXXXXXXXXX
3rd 26.9% 
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
4th 4.2% 
XXXXX
5th 7.3% 
XXXXXXXX