DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? |
11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Round 1 |
|
|
|
8.3% |
|
Andy Beshear |
8.0 |
(32.0%) |
|
Gavin Newsom |
4.0 |
(16.0%) |
|
Kamala Harris |
4.0 |
(16.0%) |
|
Josh Shapiro |
3.0 |
(12.0%) |
|
Gretchen Whitmer |
2.0 |
(8.0%) |
|
Wes Moore |
2.0 |
(8.0%) |
|
J. B. Pritzker |
1.0 |
(4.0%) |
|
Pete Buttigieg |
1.0 |
(4.0%) |
|
| | |
|
Results |
|
Redistributed Votes (to these colors) |
Andy Beshear |
Elected |
|
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
the number of votes that guarantees victory (8.3% of counted votes).
In the first round, the first choices on each ballot are tallied.
Andy Beshear has enough votes to guarantee victory and is declared a winner. To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking, if possible. This is actually done by counting a fraction of the ballots most recently counted for the winning candidate.
New colors: |
|
Ruben Gallego |
Next Round
DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? |
11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Round 2 |
|
|
|
8.3% |
|
Andy Beshear |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Gavin Newsom |
4.0 |
(16.0%) |
|
Kamala Harris |
4.0 |
(16.0%) |
|
Josh Shapiro |
3.0 |
(12.0%) |
|
Gretchen Whitmer |
3.4 |
(13.7%) |
|
Wes Moore |
2.7 |
(10.9%) |
|
J. B. Pritzker |
1.7 |
(6.9%) |
|
Pete Buttigieg |
3.1 |
(12.6%) |
|
Ruben Gallego |
0.7 |
(2.9%) |
|
| | |
|
Results |
|
Redistributed Votes (to these colors) |
Kamala Harris |
Elected |
|
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
the number of votes that guarantees victory (8.3% of counted votes).
Kamala Harris has enough votes to guarantee victory and is declared a winner. To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking, if possible. This is actually done by counting a fraction of the ballots most recently counted for the winning candidate.
Next Round
DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? |
11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Round 3 |
|
|
|
8.3% |
|
Andy Beshear |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Gavin Newsom |
4.0 |
(16.0%) |
|
Kamala Harris |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Josh Shapiro |
3.0 |
(12.0%) |
|
Gretchen Whitmer |
3.4 |
(13.7%) |
|
Wes Moore |
2.7 |
(10.9%) |
|
J. B. Pritzker |
3.4 |
(13.8%) |
|
Pete Buttigieg |
3.1 |
(12.6%) |
|
Ruben Gallego |
0.7 |
(2.9%) |
|
| | |
|
Results |
|
Redistributed Votes (to these colors) |
Gavin Newsom |
Elected |
|
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
the number of votes that guarantees victory (8.3% of counted votes).
A tie was resolved by choosing a candidate at random.
Gavin Newsom has enough votes to guarantee victory and is declared a winner. To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking, if possible. This is actually done by counting a fraction of the ballots most recently counted for the winning candidate.
New colors: |
|
Cory Booker |
|
|
Stacey Abrams |
Next Round
DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? |
11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Round 4 |
|
|
|
9.1% |
|
Andy Beshear |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Gavin Newsom |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Kamala Harris |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Josh Shapiro |
3.0 |
(12.0%) |
|
Gretchen Whitmer |
3.4 |
(13.7%) |
|
Wes Moore |
2.7 |
(10.9%) |
|
J. B. Pritzker |
3.4 |
(13.8%) |
|
Pete Buttigieg |
3.1 |
(12.6%) |
|
Cory Booker |
1.3 |
(5.2%) |
|
Stacey Abrams |
0.4 |
(1.7%) |
|
Ruben Gallego |
0.7 |
(2.9%) |
|
| | |
|
Results |
|
Redistributed Votes (to these colors) |
J. B. Pritzker |
Equalized |
|
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
an elected member's equal share of the votes (9.1% of counted votes).
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats,
so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.
Next Round
DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? |
11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Round 5 |
|
|
|
9.1% |
|
Andy Beshear |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Gavin Newsom |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Kamala Harris |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Josh Shapiro |
3.0 |
(12.0%) |
|
Gretchen Whitmer |
3.4 |
(13.7%) |
|
Wes Moore |
2.7 |
(10.9%) |
|
J. B. Pritzker |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Pete Buttigieg |
3.1 |
(12.6%) |
|
Cory Booker |
2.5 |
(9.9%) |
|
Stacey Abrams |
0.4 |
(1.7%) |
|
Ruben Gallego |
0.7 |
(2.9%) |
|
| | |
|
Results |
|
Redistributed Votes (to these colors) |
Gretchen Whitmer |
Equalized |
|
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
an elected member's equal share of the votes (9.1% of counted votes).
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats,
so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.
Next Round
DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? |
11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Round 6 |
|
|
|
9.1% |
|
Andy Beshear |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Gavin Newsom |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Kamala Harris |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Josh Shapiro |
3.0 |
(12.0%) |
|
Gretchen Whitmer |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Wes Moore |
2.7 |
(10.9%) |
|
J. B. Pritzker |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Pete Buttigieg |
3.1 |
(12.6%) |
|
Cory Booker |
2.5 |
(9.9%) |
|
Stacey Abrams |
0.4 |
(1.7%) |
|
Ruben Gallego |
1.9 |
(7.5%) |
|
| | |
|
Results |
|
Redistributed Votes (to these colors) |
Pete Buttigieg |
Equalized |
|
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
an elected member's equal share of the votes (9.1% of counted votes).
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats,
so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.
Next Round
DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? |
11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Round 7 |
|
|
|
9.1% |
|
Andy Beshear |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Gavin Newsom |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Kamala Harris |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Josh Shapiro |
3.0 |
(12.0%) |
|
Gretchen Whitmer |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Wes Moore |
2.7 |
(10.9%) |
|
J. B. Pritzker |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Pete Buttigieg |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Cory Booker |
2.5 |
(9.9%) |
|
Stacey Abrams |
0.4 |
(1.7%) |
|
Ruben Gallego |
2.8 |
(11.0%) |
|
| | |
|
Results |
|
Redistributed Votes (to these colors) |
Josh Shapiro |
Equalized |
|
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
an elected member's equal share of the votes (9.1% of counted votes).
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats,
so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.
Next Round
DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? |
11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Round 8 |
|
|
|
9.1% |
|
Andy Beshear |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Gavin Newsom |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Kamala Harris |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Josh Shapiro |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Gretchen Whitmer |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Wes Moore |
2.7 |
(10.9%) |
|
J. B. Pritzker |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Pete Buttigieg |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Cory Booker |
2.5 |
(9.9%) |
|
Stacey Abrams |
1.2 |
(4.6%) |
|
Ruben Gallego |
2.8 |
(11.0%) |
|
| | |
|
Results |
|
Redistributed Votes (to these colors) |
Ruben Gallego |
Equalized |
|
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
an elected member's equal share of the votes (9.1% of counted votes).
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats,
so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.
Next Round
DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? |
11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Round 9 |
|
|
|
9.1% |
|
Andy Beshear |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Gavin Newsom |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Kamala Harris |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Josh Shapiro |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Gretchen Whitmer |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Wes Moore |
2.7 |
(10.9%) |
|
J. B. Pritzker |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Pete Buttigieg |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Cory Booker |
2.5 |
(9.9%) |
|
Stacey Abrams |
1.6 |
(6.5%) |
|
Ruben Gallego |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
| | |
|
Results |
|
Redistributed Votes (to these colors) |
Wes Moore |
Equalized |
|
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
an elected member's equal share of the votes (9.1% of counted votes).
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats,
so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.
Next Round
DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? |
11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Round 10 |
|
|
|
9.1% |
|
Andy Beshear |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Gavin Newsom |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Kamala Harris |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Josh Shapiro |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Gretchen Whitmer |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Wes Moore |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
J. B. Pritzker |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Pete Buttigieg |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Cory Booker |
2.5 |
(9.9%) |
|
Stacey Abrams |
2.1 |
(8.3%) |
|
Ruben Gallego |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
| | |
|
Results |
|
Redistributed Votes (to these colors) |
Cory Booker |
Equalized |
|
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
an elected member's equal share of the votes (9.1% of counted votes).
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats,
so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.
Next Round
DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? |
11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form: First Round |
Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Round 11 |
|
|
|
9.1% |
|
Andy Beshear |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Gavin Newsom |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Kamala Harris |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Josh Shapiro |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Gretchen Whitmer |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Wes Moore |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
J. B. Pritzker |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Pete Buttigieg |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Cory Booker |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Stacey Abrams |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
Ruben Gallego |
2.3 |
(9.1%) |
|
| | |
|
Results |
|
Gavin Newsom | Elected | |
Cory Booker | Elected | |
Gretchen Whitmer | Elected | |
Stacey Abrams | Elected | |
J. B. Pritzker | Elected | |
Andy Beshear | Elected | |
Ruben Gallego | Elected | |
Kamala Harris | Elected | |
Pete Buttigieg | Elected | |
Wes Moore | Elected | |
Josh Shapiro | Elected | |
Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the
How it works page, view the
table form,
or ask a question.
The dotted line represents
an elected member's equal share of the votes (9.1% of counted votes).
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats,
so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
In the end, 100% of all cast ballots counted toward a winner. This compares to 100%
if only the first-round votes were used.
You should be able to see that the winners have a more equal mandate in the final round than in
the first round.
Note that even the "highest first-round votes" method is more democratic than most
methods used in US public elections: the "vote for 11" method, which
allows the largest block of voters to dominate, and the district method, where choices are restricted
to the one or two viable candidates within geographical boundaries drawn by the politicians in office.
The
Ballot Depth section shows how much lower rankings contributed to the tally.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? |
11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast. |
Table form |
Chart form:
First Round |
Final Round |
Ballot Depth |
How it works |
Main Page
Ballot Depth: This shows how much the lower rankings on ballots contributed to the winning
candidates.
Rank |
Fraction of votes for winners |