DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 1    
------------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  102,720  (26.3%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD __________________________ :
London Breed  95,117  (24.4%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII _____________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  89,215  (22.9%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH _____________________________ :
Mark Farrell  72,115  (18.5%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB ___________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  11,425  (2.9%) 
KKK ____________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  8,665  (2.2%) 
MM _____________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  2,897  (0.7%) 
E ______________________________________________________ :
Keith Freedman  2,079  (0.5%) 
C ______________________________________________________ :
Nelson Mei  1,791  (0.5%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Shahram Shariati  1,613  (0.4%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Henry Flynn  1,319  (0.3%) 
A ______________________________________________________ :
Paul Ybarra Robertson  812  (0.2%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Jon Soderstrom  412  (0.1%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Marc Roth (Write-In)  (0.0%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Michael Lin (Write-In)  (0.0%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Michael Lin (Write-In) Defeated

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Michael Lin (Write-In)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 2    
------------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  102,721  (26.3%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD __________________________ :
London Breed  95,117  (24.4%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII _____________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  89,215  (22.9%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ______________________________ :
Mark Farrell  72,115  (18.5%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB __________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  11,425  (2.9%) 
KKKK ___________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  8,665  (2.2%) 
MMM ____________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  2,897  (0.7%) 
E ______________________________________________________ :
Keith Freedman  2,079  (0.5%) 
C ______________________________________________________ :
Nelson Mei  1,791  (0.5%) 
F ______________________________________________________ :
Shahram Shariati  1,613  (0.4%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Henry Flynn  1,319  (0.3%) 
A ______________________________________________________ :
Paul Ybarra Robertson  812  (0.2%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Jon Soderstrom  412  (0.1%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Marc Roth (Write-In)  (0.0%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Marc Roth (Write-In) Defeated

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Marc Roth (Write-In)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

New colors:
Q
None of these

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 3    
------------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  102,722  (26.3%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD __________________________ :
London Breed  95,117  (24.4%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ____________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  89,215  (22.9%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ______________________________ :
Mark Farrell  72,115  (18.5%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB ___________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  11,425  (2.9%) 
KKK ____________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  8,665  (2.2%) 
MM _____________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  2,898  (0.7%) 
E ______________________________________________________ :
Keith Freedman  2,079  (0.5%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Nelson Mei  1,791  (0.5%) 
F ______________________________________________________ :
Shahram Shariati  1,613  (0.4%) 
J ______________________________________________________ :
Henry Flynn  1,319  (0.3%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Paul Ybarra Robertson  812  (0.2%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Jon Soderstrom  412  (0.1%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
None of these   
_______________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Jon Soderstrom Defeated

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Jon Soderstrom) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 4    
------------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  102,751  (26.3%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD __________________________ :
London Breed  95,138  (24.4%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ____________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  89,240  (22.9%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ______________________________ :
Mark Farrell  72,156  (18.5%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB ___________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  11,454  (2.9%) 
KKK ____________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  8,714  (2.2%) 
MM _____________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  2,925  (0.7%) 
E ______________________________________________________ :
Keith Freedman  2,121  (0.5%) 
C ______________________________________________________ :
Nelson Mei  1,809  (0.5%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Shahram Shariati  1,624  (0.4%) 
J ______________________________________________________ :
Henry Flynn  1,353  (0.3%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Paul Ybarra Robertson  838  (0.2%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
None of these  61   
_______________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Paul Ybarra Robertson Defeated
C

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Paul Ybarra Robertson) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 5    
------------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  102,813  (26.4%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD __________________________ :
London Breed  95,202  (24.4%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ____________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  89,373  (22.9%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH _____________________________ :
Mark Farrell  72,259  (18.5%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB __________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  11,490  (2.9%) 
KKKK ___________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  8,770  (2.2%) 
MMM ____________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  2,966  (0.8%) 
E ______________________________________________________ :
Keith Freedman  2,180  (0.6%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Nelson Mei  1,874  (0.5%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Shahram Shariati  1,667  (0.4%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Henry Flynn  1,385  (0.4%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
None of these  205   
_______________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Henry Flynn Defeated
F

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Henry Flynn) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 6    
------------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  102,951  (26.4%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD __________________________ :
London Breed  95,293  (24.4%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ____________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  89,498  (23.0%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH _____________________________ :
Mark Farrell  72,568  (18.6%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB __________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  11,554  (3.0%) 
KKKK ___________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  8,873  (2.3%) 
MMM ____________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  3,052  (0.8%) 
E ______________________________________________________ :
Keith Freedman  2,329  (0.6%) 
C ______________________________________________________ :
Nelson Mei  1,948  (0.5%) 
F ______________________________________________________ :
Shahram Shariati  1,731  (0.4%) 
J ______________________________________________________ :
None of these  387   
_______________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Shahram Shariati Defeated

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Shahram Shariati) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 7    
------------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  103,114  (26.5%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD __________________________ :
London Breed  95,514  (24.5%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ____________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  89,648  (23.0%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH _____________________________ :
Mark Farrell  72,716  (18.7%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB __________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  11,944  (3.1%) 
KKK ____________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  9,061  (2.3%) 
MM _____________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  3,185  (0.8%) 
E ______________________________________________________ :
Keith Freedman  2,406  (0.6%) 
C ______________________________________________________ :
Nelson Mei  2,043  (0.5%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
None of these  553   
_______________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Nelson Mei Defeated

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Nelson Mei) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 8    
------------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  103,262  (26.5%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD _________________________ :
London Breed  95,661  (24.6%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ____________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  89,864  (23.1%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ______________________________ :
Mark Farrell  72,905  (18.7%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB __________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  12,042  (3.1%) 
KKK ____________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  9,450  (2.4%) 
MMM ____________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  3,625  (0.9%) 
E ______________________________________________________ :
Keith Freedman  2,539  (0.7%) 
C ______________________________________________________ :
None of these  836   
Q ______________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Keith Freedman Defeated
I

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Keith Freedman) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 9    
------------------------------------------------------ 50%
Daniel Lurie  103,701  (26.7%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD _________________________ :
London Breed  95,897  (24.7%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ___________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  90,098  (23.2%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH _____________________________ :
Mark Farrell  73,438  (18.9%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB _________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  12,192  (3.1%) 
KKK ___________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  9,749  (2.5%) 
MMM ___________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  3,939  (1.0%) 
E _____________________________________________________ :
None of these  1,170   
______________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Dylan Hirsch-Shell Defeated

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Dylan Hirsch-Shell) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 10    
------------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  104,455  (26.9%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD __________________________ :
London Breed  96,467  (24.8%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ____________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  90,810  (23.4%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH _____________________________ :
Mark Farrell  74,046  (19.1%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB __________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  12,556  (3.2%) 
KKKK ___________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  10,094  (2.6%) 
MMM ____________________________________________________ :
None of these  1,756   
_______________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Ellen Lee Zhou Defeated
B

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Ellen Lee Zhou) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 11    
------------------------------------------------------ 50%
Daniel Lurie  106,746  (27.7%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD ________________________ :
London Breed  97,321  (25.2%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ___________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  92,019  (23.8%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ____________________________ :
Mark Farrell  76,338  (19.8%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB ________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  13,618  (3.5%) 
KKKK __________________________________________________ :
None of these  4,142   
QQ ____________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Ahsha Safai Defeated
B D H I

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Ahsha Safai) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 12    
------------------------------------------------------ 50%
Daniel Lurie  109,362  (28.5%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD _______________________ :
London Breed  99,912  (26.0%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII __________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  96,073  (25.0%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ___________________________ :
Mark Farrell  78,878  (20.5%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB _______________________________ :
None of these  5,959   
QQ ____________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Mark Farrell Defeated
DDDDDDDDDDD HH IIII QQQQ

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Mark Farrell) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 13    
---------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  150,595  (40.8%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD __________ :
London Breed  113,865  (30.9%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ____________________ :
Aaron Peskin  104,279  (28.3%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH _______________________ :
None of these  21,445   
QQQQQQ ______________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Aaron Peskin Defeated
DDDDDDDDD IIIIIIIIII QQQQQQQQQQ

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Aaron Peskin) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
  
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 14    
---------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  182,364  (55.0%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD :DDDDD
London Breed  149,113  (45.0%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ____ :
None of these  58,707   
QQQQQQQQQQQQQQQQ ______________________________
   
Results  
Daniel LurieElected 
London BreedDefeated 

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

Daniel Lurie has enough votes to guarantee victory and is declared a winner.
In the end, 46.7% of all cast ballots counted toward a winner. This compares to 26.3% if only the first-round votes were used.

The Ballot Depth section shows how much lower rankings contributed to the tally.
















 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Final Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Ballot Depth: This shows how much the lower rankings on ballots contributed to the winning candidate.

Rank Fraction of votes for winner
1st 56.3% 
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
2nd 30.7% 
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
3rd 7.5% 
XXXXXXX
4th 2.1% 
XX
5th 0.9% 
X
6th 0.7% 
X
7th 0.6% 
X
8th 0.6% 
X
9th 0.5% 
10th 0.2%