DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 1    
------------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  84,532  (27.2%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD _________________________ :
London Breed  75,845  (24.4%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII _____________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  70,032  (22.5%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ______________________________ :
Mark Farrell  57,625  (18.5%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB ___________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  8,895  (2.9%) 
KKK ____________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  6,520  (2.1%) 
MM _____________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  2,170  (0.7%) 
E ______________________________________________________ :
Keith Freedman  1,364  (0.4%) 
C ______________________________________________________ :
Nelson Mei  1,230  (0.4%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Shahram Shariati  1,098  (0.4%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Henry Flynn  984  (0.3%) 
A ______________________________________________________ :
Paul Ybarra Robertson  560  (0.2%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Jon Soderstrom  301  (0.1%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Write-In  56  (0.0%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Michael Lin (Write-In)  (0.0%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Michael Lin (Write-In) Defeated

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Michael Lin (Write-In)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 2    
------------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  84,533  (27.2%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD _________________________ :
London Breed  75,845  (24.4%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII _____________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  70,032  (22.5%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ______________________________ :
Mark Farrell  57,625  (18.5%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB __________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  8,895  (2.9%) 
KKKK ___________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  6,520  (2.1%) 
MMM ____________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  2,170  (0.7%) 
E ______________________________________________________ :
Keith Freedman  1,364  (0.4%) 
C ______________________________________________________ :
Nelson Mei  1,230  (0.4%) 
F ______________________________________________________ :
Shahram Shariati  1,098  (0.4%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Henry Flynn  984  (0.3%) 
A ______________________________________________________ :
Paul Ybarra Robertson  560  (0.2%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Jon Soderstrom  301  (0.1%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Write-In  56  (0.0%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Write-In Defeated

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Write-In) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

New colors:
Q
None of these

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 3    
------------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  84,539  (27.2%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD _________________________ :
London Breed  75,853  (24.4%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ____________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  70,034  (22.5%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ______________________________ :
Mark Farrell  57,627  (18.5%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB __________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  8,897  (2.9%) 
KKK ____________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  6,524  (2.1%) 
MM _____________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  2,174  (0.7%) 
E ______________________________________________________ :
Keith Freedman  1,366  (0.4%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Nelson Mei  1,233  (0.4%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Shahram Shariati  1,099  (0.4%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Henry Flynn  985  (0.3%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Paul Ybarra Robertson  560  (0.2%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Jon Soderstrom  301  (0.1%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
None of these  21   
_______________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Jon Soderstrom Defeated
Q

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Jon Soderstrom) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 4    
------------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  84,557  (27.2%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD _________________________ :
London Breed  75,867  (24.4%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ____________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  70,048  (22.5%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH _______________________________ :
Mark Farrell  57,659  (18.5%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB __________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  8,921  (2.9%) 
KKK ____________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  6,560  (2.1%) 
MM _____________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  2,195  (0.7%) 
E ______________________________________________________ :
Keith Freedman  1,398  (0.4%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Nelson Mei  1,244  (0.4%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Shahram Shariati  1,108  (0.4%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Henry Flynn  1,013  (0.3%) 
A ______________________________________________________ :
Paul Ybarra Robertson  579  (0.2%) 
G ______________________________________________________ :
None of these  64   
_______________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Paul Ybarra Robertson Defeated

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Paul Ybarra Robertson) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 5    
------------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  84,603  (27.2%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD _________________________ :
London Breed  75,906  (24.4%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII _____________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  70,136  (22.5%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ______________________________ :
Mark Farrell  57,733  (18.6%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB __________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  8,950  (2.9%) 
KKK ____________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  6,597  (2.1%) 
MM _____________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  2,226  (0.7%) 
E ______________________________________________________ :
Keith Freedman  1,440  (0.5%) 
C ______________________________________________________ :
Nelson Mei  1,293  (0.4%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Shahram Shariati  1,137  (0.4%) 
J ______________________________________________________ :
Henry Flynn  1,034  (0.3%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
None of these  158   
_______________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Henry Flynn Defeated

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Henry Flynn) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 6    
------------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  84,700  (27.2%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD _________________________ :
London Breed  75,974  (24.4%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII _____________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  70,225  (22.6%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ______________________________ :
Mark Farrell  57,962  (18.6%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB __________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  8,996  (2.9%) 
KKK ____________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  6,673  (2.1%) 
MM _____________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  2,288  (0.7%) 
E ______________________________________________________ :
Keith Freedman  1,555  (0.5%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Nelson Mei  1,354  (0.4%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
Shahram Shariati  1,184  (0.4%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
None of these  302   
_______________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Shahram Shariati Defeated
F

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Shahram Shariati) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 7    
------------------------------------------------------ 50%
Daniel Lurie  84,822  (27.3%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD ________________________ :
London Breed  76,124  (24.5%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ___________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  70,333  (22.6%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH _____________________________ :
Mark Farrell  58,058  (18.7%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB __________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  9,275  (3.0%) 
KKK ___________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  6,786  (2.2%) 
MMM ___________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  2,379  (0.8%) 
E _____________________________________________________ :
Keith Freedman  1,612  (0.5%) 
C _____________________________________________________ :
Nelson Mei  1,418  (0.5%) 
______________________________________________________ :
None of these  406   
______________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Nelson Mei Defeated

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Nelson Mei) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 8    
------------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  84,935  (27.3%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD _________________________ :
London Breed  76,219  (24.5%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ____________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  70,470  (22.7%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ______________________________ :
Mark Farrell  58,190  (18.7%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB ___________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  9,351  (3.0%) 
KKKK ___________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  7,073  (2.3%) 
MMM ____________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  2,666  (0.9%) 
E ______________________________________________________ :
Keith Freedman  1,698  (0.5%) 
_______________________________________________________ :
None of these  611   
_______________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Keith Freedman Defeated

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Keith Freedman) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 9    
------------------------------------------------------ 50%
Daniel Lurie  85,237  (27.5%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD ________________________ :
London Breed  76,369  (24.6%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ___________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  70,629  (22.8%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH _____________________________ :
Mark Farrell  58,548  (18.9%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB _________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  9,449  (3.0%) 
KKKK __________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  7,265  (2.3%) 
MMM ___________________________________________________ :
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  2,876  (0.9%) 
E _____________________________________________________ :
None of these  840   
______________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Dylan Hirsch-Shell Defeated
D H

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Dylan Hirsch-Shell) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 10    
------------------------------------------------------ 50%
Daniel Lurie  85,778  (27.7%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD ________________________ :
London Breed  76,771  (24.8%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ___________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  71,169  (23.0%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH _____________________________ :
Mark Farrell  58,990  (19.0%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB __________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  9,721  (3.1%) 
KKK ___________________________________________________ :
Ellen Lee Zhou  7,513  (2.4%) 
MMM ___________________________________________________ :
None of these  1,271   
______________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Ellen Lee Zhou Defeated
B D I Q

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Ellen Lee Zhou) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 11    
------------------------------------------------------ 50%
Daniel Lurie  87,483  (28.4%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD _______________________ :
London Breed  77,373  (25.1%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ___________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  72,070  (23.4%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH _____________________________ :
Mark Farrell  60,684  (19.7%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB ________________________________ :
Ahsha Safai  10,483  (3.4%) 
KKK ___________________________________________________ :
None of these  3,120   
Q _____________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Ahsha Safai Defeated
B D H Q

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Ahsha Safai) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 12    
------------------------------------------------------ 50%
Daniel Lurie  89,555  (29.2%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD ______________________ :
London Breed  79,369  (25.9%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII __________________________ :
Aaron Peskin  75,228  (24.5%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ____________________________ :
Mark Farrell  62,614  (20.4%) 
BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB ________________________________ :
None of these  4,447   
Q _____________________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Mark Farrell Defeated
DDDDDDDDDDDD HH IIII QQQQ

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Mark Farrell) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 13    
---------------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  122,709  (41.6%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD _________ :
London Breed  90,416  (30.7%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ____________________ :
Aaron Peskin  81,526  (27.7%) 
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ________________________ :
None of these  16,562   
QQQQQQ ______________________________________________
   
Results   Redistributed Votes (to these colors)
Aaron Peskin Defeated
DDDDDDDDD IIIIIIIIII QQQQQQQQQQ

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

The last-place candidate (Aaron Peskin) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

next round Next Round














 
  
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 14    
----------------------------------------------- 50%
Daniel Lurie  148,019  (55.7%) 
DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD :DDDDD
London Breed  117,882  (44.3%) 
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII _____ :
None of these  45,312   
QQQQQQQQQQQQQQQQ _______________________________
   
Results  
Daniel LurieElected 
London BreedDefeated 

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, view the table form, or ask a question.
The dotted line represents the number of votes that guarantees victory (50% of counted votes).

Daniel Lurie has enough votes to guarantee victory and is declared a winner.
In the end, 47.6% of all cast ballots counted toward a winner. This compares to 27.2% if only the first-round votes were used.

The Ballot Depth section shows how much lower rankings contributed to the tally.
















 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.

Table form | Chart form: First Round | Final Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Ballot Depth: This shows how much the lower rankings on ballots contributed to the winning candidate.

Rank Fraction of votes for winner
1st 57.1% 
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
2nd 30.5% 
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
3rd 7.3% 
XXXXXXX
4th 2.0% 
XX
5th 0.8% 
X
6th 0.6% 
X
7th 0.5% 
8th 0.5% 
9th 0.5% 
10th 0.2%