DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor

1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.


Round 1

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Daniel Lurie  Chart color  102,720  (26.3%)   
London Breed  Chart color  95,117  (24.4%)   
Aaron Peskin  Chart color  89,215  (22.9%)   
Mark Farrell  Chart color  72,115  (18.5%)   
Ahsha Safai  Chart color  11,425  (2.9%)   
Ellen Lee Zhou  Chart color  8,665  (2.2%)   
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  Chart color  2,897  (0.7%)   
Keith Freedman  Chart color  2,079  (0.5%)   
Nelson Mei  Chart color  1,791  (0.5%)   
Shahram Shariati  Chart color  1,613  (0.4%)   
Henry Flynn  Chart color  1,319  (0.3%)   
Paul Ybarra Robertson  Chart color  812  (0.2%)   
Jon Soderstrom  Chart color  412  (0.1%)   
Marc Roth (Write-In)  Chart color  3  (0.0%)   
Michael Lin (Write-In)  Chart color  1  (0.0%)  Defeated
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Michael Lin (Write-In)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor

1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.


Round 2

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Daniel Lurie  Chart color  102,721  (26.3%)   
London Breed  Chart color  95,117  (24.4%)   
Aaron Peskin  Chart color  89,215  (22.9%)   
Mark Farrell  Chart color  72,115  (18.5%)   
Ahsha Safai  Chart color  11,425  (2.9%)   
Ellen Lee Zhou  Chart color  8,665  (2.2%)   
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  Chart color  2,897  (0.7%)   
Keith Freedman  Chart color  2,079  (0.5%)   
Nelson Mei  Chart color  1,791  (0.5%)   
Shahram Shariati  Chart color  1,613  (0.4%)   
Henry Flynn  Chart color  1,319  (0.3%)   
Paul Ybarra Robertson  Chart color  812  (0.2%)   
Jon Soderstrom  Chart color  412  (0.1%)   
Marc Roth (Write-In)  Chart color  3  (0.0%)  Defeated
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Marc Roth (Write-In)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor

1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.


Round 3

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Daniel Lurie  Chart color  102,722  (26.3%)   
London Breed  Chart color  95,117  (24.4%)   
Aaron Peskin  Chart color  89,215  (22.9%)   
Mark Farrell  Chart color  72,115  (18.5%)   
Ahsha Safai  Chart color  11,425  (2.9%)   
Ellen Lee Zhou  Chart color  8,665  (2.2%)   
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  Chart color  2,898  (0.7%)   
Keith Freedman  Chart color  2,079  (0.5%)   
Nelson Mei  Chart color  1,791  (0.5%)   
Shahram Shariati  Chart color  1,613  (0.4%)   
Henry Flynn  Chart color  1,319  (0.3%)   
Paul Ybarra Robertson  Chart color  812  (0.2%)   
Jon Soderstrom  Chart color  412  (0.1%)  Defeated
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Jon Soderstrom) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor

1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.


Round 4

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Daniel Lurie  Chart color  102,751  (26.3%)   
London Breed  Chart color  95,138  (24.4%)   
Aaron Peskin  Chart color  89,240  (22.9%)   
Mark Farrell  Chart color  72,156  (18.5%)   
Ahsha Safai  Chart color  11,454  (2.9%)   
Ellen Lee Zhou  Chart color  8,714  (2.2%)   
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  Chart color  2,925  (0.7%)   
Keith Freedman  Chart color  2,121  (0.5%)   
Nelson Mei  Chart color  1,809  (0.5%)   
Shahram Shariati  Chart color  1,624  (0.4%)   
Henry Flynn  Chart color  1,353  (0.3%)   
Paul Ybarra Robertson  Chart color  838  (0.2%)  Defeated
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Paul Ybarra Robertson) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor

1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.


Round 5

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Daniel Lurie  Chart color  102,813  (26.4%)   
London Breed  Chart color  95,202  (24.4%)   
Aaron Peskin  Chart color  89,373  (22.9%)   
Mark Farrell  Chart color  72,259  (18.5%)   
Ahsha Safai  Chart color  11,490  (2.9%)   
Ellen Lee Zhou  Chart color  8,770  (2.2%)   
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  Chart color  2,966  (0.8%)   
Keith Freedman  Chart color  2,180  (0.6%)   
Nelson Mei  Chart color  1,874  (0.5%)   
Shahram Shariati  Chart color  1,667  (0.4%)   
Henry Flynn  Chart color  1,385  (0.4%)  Defeated
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Henry Flynn) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor

1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.


Round 6

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Daniel Lurie  Chart color  102,951  (26.4%)   
London Breed  Chart color  95,293  (24.4%)   
Aaron Peskin  Chart color  89,498  (23.0%)   
Mark Farrell  Chart color  72,568  (18.6%)   
Ahsha Safai  Chart color  11,554  (3.0%)   
Ellen Lee Zhou  Chart color  8,873  (2.3%)   
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  Chart color  3,052  (0.8%)   
Keith Freedman  Chart color  2,329  (0.6%)   
Nelson Mei  Chart color  1,948  (0.5%)   
Shahram Shariati  Chart color  1,731  (0.4%)  Defeated
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Shahram Shariati) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor

1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.


Round 7

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Daniel Lurie  Chart color  103,114  (26.5%)   
London Breed  Chart color  95,514  (24.5%)   
Aaron Peskin  Chart color  89,648  (23.0%)   
Mark Farrell  Chart color  72,716  (18.7%)   
Ahsha Safai  Chart color  11,944  (3.1%)   
Ellen Lee Zhou  Chart color  9,061  (2.3%)   
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  Chart color  3,185  (0.8%)   
Keith Freedman  Chart color  2,406  (0.6%)   
Nelson Mei  Chart color  2,043  (0.5%)  Defeated
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Nelson Mei) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor

1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.


Round 8

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Daniel Lurie  Chart color  103,262  (26.5%)   
London Breed  Chart color  95,661  (24.6%)   
Aaron Peskin  Chart color  89,864  (23.1%)   
Mark Farrell  Chart color  72,905  (18.7%)   
Ahsha Safai  Chart color  12,042  (3.1%)   
Ellen Lee Zhou  Chart color  9,450  (2.4%)   
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  Chart color  3,625  (0.9%)   
Keith Freedman  Chart color  2,539  (0.7%)  Defeated
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Keith Freedman) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor

1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.


Round 9

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Daniel Lurie  Chart color  103,701  (26.7%)   
London Breed  Chart color  95,897  (24.7%)   
Aaron Peskin  Chart color  90,098  (23.2%)   
Mark Farrell  Chart color  73,438  (18.9%)   
Ahsha Safai  Chart color  12,192  (3.1%)   
Ellen Lee Zhou  Chart color  9,749  (2.5%)   
Dylan Hirsch-Shell  Chart color  3,939  (1.0%)  Defeated
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Dylan Hirsch-Shell) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor

1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.


Round 10

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Daniel Lurie  Chart color  104,455  (26.9%)   
London Breed  Chart color  96,467  (24.8%)   
Aaron Peskin  Chart color  90,810  (23.4%)   
Mark Farrell  Chart color  74,046  (19.1%)   
Ahsha Safai  Chart color  12,556  (3.2%)   
Ellen Lee Zhou  Chart color  10,094  (2.6%)  Defeated
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Ellen Lee Zhou) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor

1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.


Round 11

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Daniel Lurie  Chart color  106,746  (27.7%)   
London Breed  Chart color  97,321  (25.2%)   
Aaron Peskin  Chart color  92,019  (23.8%)   
Mark Farrell  Chart color  76,338  (19.8%)   
Ahsha Safai  Chart color  13,618  (3.5%)  Defeated
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Ahsha Safai) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor

1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.


Round 12

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Daniel Lurie  Chart color  109,362  (28.5%)   
London Breed  Chart color  99,912  (26.0%)   
Aaron Peskin  Chart color  96,073  (25.0%)   
Mark Farrell  Chart color  78,878  (20.5%)  Defeated
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Mark Farrell) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor

1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.


Round 13

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Daniel Lurie  Chart color  150,595  (40.8%)   
London Breed  Chart color  113,865  (30.9%)   
Aaron Peskin  Chart color  104,279  (28.3%)  Defeated
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Aaron Peskin) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor

1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.


Round 14

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Daniel Lurie  Chart color  182,364  (55.0%)  Elected
London Breed  Chart color  149,113  (45.0%)  Defeated
Pie chart

Daniel Lurie has enough votes to guarantee victory (50%) and is declared a winner.

In the end, 46.7% of all cast ballots counted toward a winner. This compares to 26.3% if only the first-round votes were used.

Also, view the Ballot Depth info to see how much lower rankings contributed to the tally.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor

1 candidate will be elected with 390,184 ballots cast.


Ballot Depth

This shows how much the lower rankings on ballots contributed to the winning candidate.

Rank Fraction of votes for winner
1st    56.3% 
2nd    30.7% 
3rd    7.5% 
4th    2.1% 
5th    0.9% 
6th    0.7% 
7th    0.6% 
8th    0.6% 
9th    0.5% 
10th    0.2% 
Pie chart