DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.
Round 1
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lurie |
|
84,532 | (27.2%) | |
| London Breed |
|
75,845 | (24.4%) | |
| Aaron Peskin |
|
70,032 | (22.5%) | |
| Mark Farrell |
|
57,625 | (18.5%) | |
| Ahsha Safai |
|
8,895 | (2.9%) | |
| Ellen Lee Zhou |
|
6,520 | (2.1%) | |
| Dylan Hirsch-Shell |
|
2,170 | (0.7%) | |
| Keith Freedman |
|
1,364 | (0.4%) | |
| Nelson Mei |
|
1,230 | (0.4%) | |
| Shahram Shariati |
|
1,098 | (0.4%) | |
| Henry Flynn |
|
984 | (0.3%) | |
| Paul Ybarra Robertson |
|
560 | (0.2%) | |
| Jon Soderstrom |
|
301 | (0.1%) | |
| Write-In |
|
56 | (0.0%) | |
| Michael Lin (Write-In) |
|
1 | (0.0%) | Defeated |
The last-place candidate (Michael Lin (Write-In)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.
Round 2
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lurie |
|
84,533 | (27.2%) | |
| London Breed |
|
75,845 | (24.4%) | |
| Aaron Peskin |
|
70,032 | (22.5%) | |
| Mark Farrell |
|
57,625 | (18.5%) | |
| Ahsha Safai |
|
8,895 | (2.9%) | |
| Ellen Lee Zhou |
|
6,520 | (2.1%) | |
| Dylan Hirsch-Shell |
|
2,170 | (0.7%) | |
| Keith Freedman |
|
1,364 | (0.4%) | |
| Nelson Mei |
|
1,230 | (0.4%) | |
| Shahram Shariati |
|
1,098 | (0.4%) | |
| Henry Flynn |
|
984 | (0.3%) | |
| Paul Ybarra Robertson |
|
560 | (0.2%) | |
| Jon Soderstrom |
|
301 | (0.1%) | |
| Write-In |
|
56 | (0.0%) | Defeated |
The last-place candidate (Write-In) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.
Round 3
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lurie |
|
84,539 | (27.2%) | |
| London Breed |
|
75,853 | (24.4%) | |
| Aaron Peskin |
|
70,034 | (22.5%) | |
| Mark Farrell |
|
57,627 | (18.5%) | |
| Ahsha Safai |
|
8,897 | (2.9%) | |
| Ellen Lee Zhou |
|
6,524 | (2.1%) | |
| Dylan Hirsch-Shell |
|
2,174 | (0.7%) | |
| Keith Freedman |
|
1,366 | (0.4%) | |
| Nelson Mei |
|
1,233 | (0.4%) | |
| Shahram Shariati |
|
1,099 | (0.4%) | |
| Henry Flynn |
|
985 | (0.3%) | |
| Paul Ybarra Robertson |
|
560 | (0.2%) | |
| Jon Soderstrom |
|
301 | (0.1%) | Defeated |
The last-place candidate (Jon Soderstrom) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.
Round 4
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lurie |
|
84,557 | (27.2%) | |
| London Breed |
|
75,867 | (24.4%) | |
| Aaron Peskin |
|
70,048 | (22.5%) | |
| Mark Farrell |
|
57,659 | (18.5%) | |
| Ahsha Safai |
|
8,921 | (2.9%) | |
| Ellen Lee Zhou |
|
6,560 | (2.1%) | |
| Dylan Hirsch-Shell |
|
2,195 | (0.7%) | |
| Keith Freedman |
|
1,398 | (0.4%) | |
| Nelson Mei |
|
1,244 | (0.4%) | |
| Shahram Shariati |
|
1,108 | (0.4%) | |
| Henry Flynn |
|
1,013 | (0.3%) | |
| Paul Ybarra Robertson |
|
579 | (0.2%) | Defeated |
The last-place candidate (Paul Ybarra Robertson) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.
Round 5
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lurie |
|
84,603 | (27.2%) | |
| London Breed |
|
75,906 | (24.4%) | |
| Aaron Peskin |
|
70,136 | (22.5%) | |
| Mark Farrell |
|
57,733 | (18.6%) | |
| Ahsha Safai |
|
8,950 | (2.9%) | |
| Ellen Lee Zhou |
|
6,597 | (2.1%) | |
| Dylan Hirsch-Shell |
|
2,226 | (0.7%) | |
| Keith Freedman |
|
1,440 | (0.5%) | |
| Nelson Mei |
|
1,293 | (0.4%) | |
| Shahram Shariati |
|
1,137 | (0.4%) | |
| Henry Flynn |
|
1,034 | (0.3%) | Defeated |
The last-place candidate (Henry Flynn) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.
Round 6
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lurie |
|
84,700 | (27.2%) | |
| London Breed |
|
75,974 | (24.4%) | |
| Aaron Peskin |
|
70,225 | (22.6%) | |
| Mark Farrell |
|
57,962 | (18.6%) | |
| Ahsha Safai |
|
8,996 | (2.9%) | |
| Ellen Lee Zhou |
|
6,673 | (2.1%) | |
| Dylan Hirsch-Shell |
|
2,288 | (0.7%) | |
| Keith Freedman |
|
1,555 | (0.5%) | |
| Nelson Mei |
|
1,354 | (0.4%) | |
| Shahram Shariati |
|
1,184 | (0.4%) | Defeated |
The last-place candidate (Shahram Shariati) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.
Round 7
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lurie |
|
84,822 | (27.3%) | |
| London Breed |
|
76,124 | (24.5%) | |
| Aaron Peskin |
|
70,333 | (22.6%) | |
| Mark Farrell |
|
58,058 | (18.7%) | |
| Ahsha Safai |
|
9,275 | (3.0%) | |
| Ellen Lee Zhou |
|
6,786 | (2.2%) | |
| Dylan Hirsch-Shell |
|
2,379 | (0.8%) | |
| Keith Freedman |
|
1,612 | (0.5%) | |
| Nelson Mei |
|
1,418 | (0.5%) | Defeated |
The last-place candidate (Nelson Mei) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.
Round 8
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lurie |
|
84,935 | (27.3%) | |
| London Breed |
|
76,219 | (24.5%) | |
| Aaron Peskin |
|
70,470 | (22.7%) | |
| Mark Farrell |
|
58,190 | (18.7%) | |
| Ahsha Safai |
|
9,351 | (3.0%) | |
| Ellen Lee Zhou |
|
7,073 | (2.3%) | |
| Dylan Hirsch-Shell |
|
2,666 | (0.9%) | |
| Keith Freedman |
|
1,698 | (0.5%) | Defeated |
The last-place candidate (Keith Freedman) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.
Round 9
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lurie |
|
85,237 | (27.5%) | |
| London Breed |
|
76,369 | (24.6%) | |
| Aaron Peskin |
|
70,629 | (22.8%) | |
| Mark Farrell |
|
58,548 | (18.9%) | |
| Ahsha Safai |
|
9,449 | (3.0%) | |
| Ellen Lee Zhou |
|
7,265 | (2.3%) | |
| Dylan Hirsch-Shell |
|
2,876 | (0.9%) | Defeated |
The last-place candidate (Dylan Hirsch-Shell) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.
Round 10
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lurie |
|
85,778 | (27.7%) | |
| London Breed |
|
76,771 | (24.8%) | |
| Aaron Peskin |
|
71,169 | (23.0%) | |
| Mark Farrell |
|
58,990 | (19.0%) | |
| Ahsha Safai |
|
9,721 | (3.1%) | |
| Ellen Lee Zhou |
|
7,513 | (2.4%) | Defeated |
The last-place candidate (Ellen Lee Zhou) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.
Round 11
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lurie |
|
87,483 | (28.4%) | |
| London Breed |
|
77,373 | (25.1%) | |
| Aaron Peskin |
|
72,070 | (23.4%) | |
| Mark Farrell |
|
60,684 | (19.7%) | |
| Ahsha Safai |
|
10,483 | (3.4%) | Defeated |
The last-place candidate (Ahsha Safai) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.
Round 12
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lurie |
|
89,555 | (29.2%) | |
| London Breed |
|
79,369 | (25.9%) | |
| Aaron Peskin |
|
75,228 | (24.5%) | |
| Mark Farrell |
|
62,614 | (20.4%) | Defeated |
The last-place candidate (Mark Farrell) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.
Round 13
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lurie |
|
122,709 | (41.6%) | |
| London Breed |
|
90,416 | (30.7%) | |
| Aaron Peskin |
|
81,526 | (27.7%) | Defeated |
The last-place candidate (Aaron Peskin) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.
Round 14
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lurie |
|
148,019 | (55.7%) | Elected |
| London Breed |
|
117,882 | (44.3%) | Defeated |
Daniel Lurie has enough votes to guarantee victory (50%) and is declared a winner.
In the end, 47.6% of all cast ballots counted toward a winner. This compares to 27.2% if only the first-round votes were used.
Also, view the Ballot Depth info to see how much lower rankings contributed to the tally.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Nov 2024 San Francisco Mayor
1 candidate will be elected with 311,213 ballots cast.
Ballot Depth
This shows how much the lower rankings on ballots contributed to the winning candidate.
| Rank | Fraction of votes for winner | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st |
|
57.1% | |
| 2nd |
|
30.5% | |
| 3rd |
|
7.3% | |
| 4th |
|
2.0% | |
| 5th |
|
0.8% | |
| 6th |
|
0.6% | |
| 7th |
|
0.5% | |
| 8th |
|
0.5% | |
| 9th |
|
0.5% | |
| 10th |
|
0.2% | |