DemoChoice Web Poll: US Representatives from Central California (District 4)

6 candidates will be elected with 30 ballots cast.


Round 1

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
John Miller, Educator/Farmer (Green)   Chart color  14.0  (46.7%)  Elected
Kevin Mc Carthy, State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  7.0  (23.3%)   
Lois Capps, U.S. Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  3.0  (10.0%)   
Devin Nunes, U.S. Representative/Farmer (Republican)   Chart color  2.0  (6.7%)   
Jim Costa, Member of Congress (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (3.3%)   
Sharon Beery, Educator/Businesswoman (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (3.3%)   
Victor Tognazzini, Agribusiness Manager (Republican)   Chart color  1.0  (3.3%)   
Elton Gallegly, U.S. Representative (Republican)   Chart color  1.0  (3.3%)   
Pie chart

In the first round, the first choices on each ballot are tallied.
John Miller, Educator/Farmer (Green) has enough votes to guarantee victory (14.3%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: US Representatives from Central California (District 4)

6 candidates will be elected with 30 ballots cast.


Round 2

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
John Miller, Educator/Farmer (Green)   Chart color  4.3  (14.3%)   
Kevin Mc Carthy, State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  7.0  (23.3%)  Elected
Lois Capps, U.S. Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  8.8  (29.4%)   
Devin Nunes, U.S. Representative/Farmer (Republican)   Chart color  2.0  (6.7%)   
Jim Costa, Member of Congress (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (3.3%)   
Sharon Beery, Educator/Businesswoman (Democratic)   Chart color  2.0  (6.6%)   
Victor Tognazzini, Agribusiness Manager (Republican)   Chart color  2.0  (6.6%)   
Elton Gallegly, U.S. Representative (Republican)   Chart color  1.0  (3.3%)   
Sam Farr, United States Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  1.9  (6.5%)   
Pie chart

Kevin Mc Carthy, State Assemblyman (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (14.3%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: US Representatives from Central California (District 4)

6 candidates will be elected with 30 ballots cast.


Round 3

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
John Miller, Educator/Farmer (Green)   Chart color  4.3  (14.3%)   
Kevin Mc Carthy, State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  4.3  (14.3%)   
Lois Capps, U.S. Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  8.8  (29.4%)  Elected
Devin Nunes, U.S. Representative/Farmer (Republican)   Chart color  3.1  (10.3%)   
Jim Costa, Member of Congress (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (3.3%)   
Sharon Beery, Educator/Businesswoman (Democratic)   Chart color  2.0  (6.6%)   
Victor Tognazzini, Agribusiness Manager (Republican)   Chart color  2.5  (8.4%)   
Elton Gallegly, U.S. Representative (Republican)   Chart color  1.5  (5.1%)   
Sam Farr, United States Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  1.9  (6.5%)   
Anthony De Maio, Finance Entrepreneur (Republican)   Chart color  0.5  (1.8%)   
Pie chart

Lois Capps, U.S. Representative (Democratic) has enough votes to guarantee victory (14.3%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















  

DemoChoice Web Poll: US Representatives from Central California (District 4)

6 candidates will be elected with 30 ballots cast.


Round 4

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
John Miller, Educator/Farmer (Green)   Chart color  4.3  (14.3%)   
Kevin Mc Carthy, State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  4.3  (14.3%)   
Lois Capps, U.S. Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  4.3  (14.3%)   
Devin Nunes, U.S. Representative/Farmer (Republican)   Chart color  3.1  (10.3%)   
Jim Costa, Member of Congress (Democratic)   Chart color  1.0  (3.3%)  Defeated
Sharon Beery, Educator/Businesswoman (Democratic)   Chart color  2.7  (9.1%)   
Victor Tognazzini, Agribusiness Manager (Republican)   Chart color  2.5  (8.4%)   
Elton Gallegly, U.S. Representative (Republican)   Chart color  1.5  (5.1%)   
Sam Farr, United States Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  2.7  (9.0%)   
Anthony De Maio, Finance Entrepreneur (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (4.3%)   
Jill Martinez, Minister (Democratic)   Chart color  2.3  (7.6%)   
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Jim Costa, Member of Congress (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: US Representatives from Central California (District 4)

6 candidates will be elected with 30 ballots cast.


Round 5

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
John Miller, Educator/Farmer (Green)   Chart color  4.3  (14.3%)   
Kevin Mc Carthy, State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  4.3  (14.3%)   
Lois Capps, U.S. Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  4.3  (14.3%)   
Devin Nunes, U.S. Representative/Farmer (Republican)   Chart color  3.1  (10.3%)   
Sharon Beery, Educator/Businesswoman (Democratic)   Chart color  2.7  (9.1%)   
Victor Tognazzini, Agribusiness Manager (Republican)   Chart color  2.5  (8.4%)   
Elton Gallegly, U.S. Representative (Republican)   Chart color  1.5  (5.1%)   
Sam Farr, United States Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  3.7  (12.3%)   
Anthony De Maio, Finance Entrepreneur (Republican)   Chart color  1.3  (4.3%)  Defeated
Jill Martinez, Minister (Democratic)   Chart color  2.3  (7.6%)   
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Anthony De Maio, Finance Entrepreneur (Republican)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: US Representatives from Central California (District 4)

6 candidates will be elected with 30 ballots cast.


Round 6

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
John Miller, Educator/Farmer (Green)   Chart color  5.0  (16.8%)   
Kevin Mc Carthy, State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  4.3  (14.3%)   
Lois Capps, U.S. Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  4.3  (14.3%)   
Devin Nunes, U.S. Representative/Farmer (Republican)   Chart color  3.1  (10.3%)   
Sharon Beery, Educator/Businesswoman (Democratic)   Chart color  2.7  (9.1%)   
Victor Tognazzini, Agribusiness Manager (Republican)   Chart color  3.1  (10.2%)   
Elton Gallegly, U.S. Representative (Republican)   Chart color  1.5  (5.1%)  Defeated
Sam Farr, United States Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  3.7  (12.3%)   
Jill Martinez, Minister (Democratic)   Chart color  2.3  (7.6%)   
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Elton Gallegly, U.S. Representative (Republican)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: US Representatives from Central California (District 4)

6 candidates will be elected with 30 ballots cast.


Round 7

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
John Miller, Educator/Farmer (Green)   Chart color  5.0  (16.8%)   
Kevin Mc Carthy, State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  4.3  (14.3%)   
Lois Capps, U.S. Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  4.3  (14.3%)   
Devin Nunes, U.S. Representative/Farmer (Republican)   Chart color  4.1  (13.6%)   
Sharon Beery, Educator/Businesswoman (Democratic)   Chart color  2.7  (9.1%)   
Victor Tognazzini, Agribusiness Manager (Republican)   Chart color  3.6  (12.0%)   
Sam Farr, United States Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  3.7  (12.3%)   
Jill Martinez, Minister (Democratic)   Chart color  2.3  (7.6%)  Defeated
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Jill Martinez, Minister (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: US Representatives from Central California (District 4)

6 candidates will be elected with 30 ballots cast.


Round 8

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
John Miller, Educator/Farmer (Green)   Chart color  5.8  (19.3%)   
Kevin Mc Carthy, State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  4.3  (14.3%)   
Lois Capps, U.S. Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  4.3  (14.3%)   
Devin Nunes, U.S. Representative/Farmer (Republican)   Chart color  4.1  (13.6%)   
Sharon Beery, Educator/Businesswoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (14.1%)   
Victor Tognazzini, Agribusiness Manager (Republican)   Chart color  3.6  (12.0%)  Defeated
Sam Farr, United States Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  3.7  (12.3%)   
Pie chart

The last-place candidate (Victor Tognazzini, Agribusiness Manager (Republican)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: US Representatives from Central California (District 4)

6 candidates will be elected with 30 ballots cast.


Round 9

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
John Miller, Educator/Farmer (Green)   Chart color  5.8  (19.3%)   
Kevin Mc Carthy, State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  4.3  (14.3%)   
Lois Capps, U.S. Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  4.3  (14.3%)   
Devin Nunes, U.S. Representative/Farmer (Republican)   Chart color  7.7  (25.6%)  Equalized
Sharon Beery, Educator/Businesswoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (14.1%)   
Sam Farr, United States Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  3.7  (12.3%)   
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: US Representatives from Central California (District 4)

6 candidates will be elected with 30 ballots cast.


Round 10

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
John Miller, Educator/Farmer (Green)   Chart color  5.8  (19.3%)   
Kevin Mc Carthy, State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  6.2  (20.8%)  Equalized
Lois Capps, U.S. Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  5.0  (16.8%)   
Devin Nunes, U.S. Representative/Farmer (Republican)   Chart color  5.0  (16.7%)   
Sharon Beery, Educator/Businesswoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.2  (14.1%)   
Sam Farr, United States Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  3.7  (12.3%)   
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: US Representatives from Central California (District 4)

6 candidates will be elected with 30 ballots cast.


Round 11

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
John Miller, Educator/Farmer (Green)   Chart color  5.8  (19.3%)  Equalized
Kevin Mc Carthy, State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  5.8  (19.2%)   
Lois Capps, U.S. Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  5.0  (16.8%)   
Devin Nunes, U.S. Representative/Farmer (Republican)   Chart color  5.0  (16.7%)   
Sharon Beery, Educator/Businesswoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.7  (15.7%)   
Sam Farr, United States Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  3.7  (12.3%)   
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: US Representatives from Central California (District 4)

6 candidates will be elected with 30 ballots cast.


Round 12

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
John Miller, Educator/Farmer (Green)   Chart color  5.6  (18.7%)   
Kevin Mc Carthy, State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  5.8  (19.2%)   
Lois Capps, U.S. Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  5.0  (16.8%)  Equalized
Devin Nunes, U.S. Representative/Farmer (Republican)   Chart color  5.0  (16.7%)   
Sharon Beery, Educator/Businesswoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.8  (16.0%)   
Sam Farr, United States Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  3.8  (12.6%)   
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: US Representatives from Central California (District 4)

6 candidates will be elected with 30 ballots cast.


Round 13

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
John Miller, Educator/Farmer (Green)   Chart color  5.6  (18.7%)  Elected
Kevin Mc Carthy, State Assemblyman (Republican)   Chart color  5.8  (19.2%)  Elected
Lois Capps, U.S. Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  5.0  (16.7%)  Elected
Devin Nunes, U.S. Representative/Farmer (Republican)   Chart color  5.0  (16.7%)  Elected
Sharon Beery, Educator/Businesswoman (Democratic)   Chart color  4.8  (16.1%)  Elected
Sam Farr, United States Representative (Democratic)   Chart color  3.8  (12.6%)  Elected
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

In the end, 100% of all cast ballots counted toward a winner. This compares to 93.3% if only the first-round votes were used. You should be able to see that the winners have a more equal mandate in the final round than in the first round.

Note that even the "highest first-round votes" method is more democratic than most methods used in US public elections: the "vote for 6" method, which allows the largest block of voters to dominate, and the district method, where choices are restricted to the one or two viable candidates within geographical boundaries drawn by the politicians in office.

Also, view the Ballot Depth info to see how much lower rankings contributed to the tally.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: US Representatives from Central California (District 4)

6 candidates will be elected with 30 ballots cast.


Ballot Depth

This shows how much the lower rankings on ballots contributed to the winning candidates.

Rank Fraction of votes for winners
1st    55.5% 
2nd    23.6% 
3rd    11.5% 
4th    4.4% 
5th    2.6% 
6th    0.8% 
9th    1.5% 
Pie chart