DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Joaquin valley (District 14)
5 candidates will be elected with 43 ballots cast.
Round 1
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Crockford, Retired Law Officer (Peace and Freedom) |
|
24.0 | (55.8%) | Elected | |
| Gerard "Gerry" Machado, Businessman/School Trustee (Republican) |
|
9.0 | (20.9%) | ||
| Jonathan Zwickel, Insurance Agent (Libertarian) |
|
4.0 | (9.3%) | ||
| Michael Dell'Orto, Businessman (Libertarian) |
|
3.0 | (7.0%) | ||
| Mike Villines, Member California Assembly (Republican) |
|
3.0 | (7.0%) | ||
In the first round, the first choices on each ballot are tallied.
John Crockford, Retired Law Officer (Peace and Freedom) has enough votes to guarantee victory
(16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Joaquin valley (District 14)
5 candidates will be elected with 43 ballots cast.
Round 2
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Crockford, Retired Law Officer (Peace and Freedom) |
|
16.0 | (37.2%) | ||
| Gerard "Gerry" Machado, Businessman/School Trustee (Republican) |
|
9.0 | (20.9%) | Elected | |
| Jonathan Zwickel, Insurance Agent (Libertarian) |
|
6.0 | (14.0%) | ||
| Michael Dell'Orto, Businessman (Libertarian) |
|
3.0 | (7.0%) | ||
| Mike Villines, Member California Assembly (Republican) |
|
3.0 | (7.0%) | ||
| Cathleen Galgiani, Higher Education Consultant (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (2.3%) | ||
| Kenneth Goeken, Special Education Teacher (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (2.3%) | ||
| Benjamin Avila, Educator (Democratic) |
|
4.0 | (9.3%) | ||
Gerard "Gerry" Machado, Businessman/School Trustee (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Joaquin valley (District 14)
5 candidates will be elected with 43 ballots cast.
Round 3
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Crockford, Retired Law Officer (Peace and Freedom) |
|
16.0 | (37.2%) | |
| Gerard "Gerry" Machado, Businessman/School Trustee (Republican) |
|
7.2 | (16.7%) | |
| Jonathan Zwickel, Insurance Agent (Libertarian) |
|
6.2 | (14.4%) | |
| Michael Dell'Orto, Businessman (Libertarian) |
|
3.0 | (7.0%) | |
| Mike Villines, Member California Assembly (Republican) |
|
3.6 | (8.4%) | |
| Cathleen Galgiani, Higher Education Consultant (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (2.3%) | |
| Tom Berryhill, Farmer/Small Businessman (Republican) |
|
0.4 | (0.9%) | Defeated |
| Kenneth Goeken, Special Education Teacher (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (2.3%) | |
| Greg Aghazarian, Assemblymember (Republican) |
|
0.6 | (1.4%) | |
| Benjamin Avila, Educator (Democratic) |
|
4.0 | (9.3%) | |
The last-place candidate (Tom Berryhill, Farmer/Small Businessman (Republican)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Joaquin valley (District 14)
5 candidates will be elected with 43 ballots cast.
Round 4
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Crockford, Retired Law Officer (Peace and Freedom) |
|
16.0 | (37.2%) | |
| Gerard "Gerry" Machado, Businessman/School Trustee (Republican) |
|
7.2 | (16.7%) | |
| Jonathan Zwickel, Insurance Agent (Libertarian) |
|
6.2 | (14.4%) | |
| Michael Dell'Orto, Businessman (Libertarian) |
|
3.0 | (7.0%) | |
| Mike Villines, Member California Assembly (Republican) |
|
3.8 | (8.9%) | |
| Cathleen Galgiani, Higher Education Consultant (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (2.3%) | |
| Kenneth Goeken, Special Education Teacher (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (2.3%) | |
| Greg Aghazarian, Assemblymember (Republican) |
|
0.8 | (1.9%) | Defeated |
| Benjamin Avila, Educator (Democratic) |
|
4.0 | (9.3%) | |
The last-place candidate (Greg Aghazarian, Assemblymember (Republican)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Joaquin valley (District 14)
5 candidates will be elected with 43 ballots cast.
Round 5
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Crockford, Retired Law Officer (Peace and Freedom) |
|
16.0 | (37.2%) | |
| Gerard "Gerry" Machado, Businessman/School Trustee (Republican) |
|
7.2 | (16.7%) | |
| Jonathan Zwickel, Insurance Agent (Libertarian) |
|
6.2 | (14.4%) | |
| Michael Dell'Orto, Businessman (Libertarian) |
|
3.0 | (7.0%) | |
| Mike Villines, Member California Assembly (Republican) |
|
4.6 | (10.8%) | |
| Cathleen Galgiani, Higher Education Consultant (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (2.3%) | Defeated |
| Kenneth Goeken, Special Education Teacher (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (2.3%) | |
| Benjamin Avila, Educator (Democratic) |
|
4.0 | (9.3%) | |
The last-place candidate (Cathleen Galgiani, Higher Education Consultant (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Joaquin valley (District 14)
5 candidates will be elected with 43 ballots cast.
Round 6
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Crockford, Retired Law Officer (Peace and Freedom) |
|
16.0 | (37.2%) | |
| Gerard "Gerry" Machado, Businessman/School Trustee (Republican) |
|
7.2 | (16.7%) | |
| Jonathan Zwickel, Insurance Agent (Libertarian) |
|
6.2 | (14.4%) | |
| Michael Dell'Orto, Businessman (Libertarian) |
|
3.0 | (7.0%) | |
| Mike Villines, Member California Assembly (Republican) |
|
4.6 | (10.8%) | |
| Kenneth Goeken, Special Education Teacher (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (2.3%) | Defeated |
| Benjamin Avila, Educator (Democratic) |
|
5.0 | (11.6%) | |
The last-place candidate (Kenneth Goeken, Special Education Teacher (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Joaquin valley (District 14)
5 candidates will be elected with 43 ballots cast.
Round 7
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Crockford, Retired Law Officer (Peace and Freedom) |
|
16.0 | (37.2%) | |
| Gerard "Gerry" Machado, Businessman/School Trustee (Republican) |
|
7.2 | (16.7%) | |
| Jonathan Zwickel, Insurance Agent (Libertarian) |
|
6.2 | (14.4%) | |
| Michael Dell'Orto, Businessman (Libertarian) |
|
3.0 | (7.0%) | Defeated |
| Mike Villines, Member California Assembly (Republican) |
|
4.6 | (10.8%) | |
| Benjamin Avila, Educator (Democratic) |
|
6.0 | (14.0%) | |
The last-place candidate (Michael Dell'Orto, Businessman (Libertarian)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Joaquin valley (District 14)
5 candidates will be elected with 43 ballots cast.
Round 8
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Crockford, Retired Law Officer (Peace and Freedom) |
|
16.0 | (37.2%) | Equalized | |
| Gerard "Gerry" Machado, Businessman/School Trustee (Republican) |
|
7.2 | (16.7%) | ||
| Jonathan Zwickel, Insurance Agent (Libertarian) |
|
9.2 | (21.4%) | ||
| Mike Villines, Member California Assembly (Republican) |
|
4.6 | (10.8%) | ||
| Benjamin Avila, Educator (Democratic) |
|
6.0 | (14.0%) | ||
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Joaquin valley (District 14)
5 candidates will be elected with 43 ballots cast.
Round 9
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Crockford, Retired Law Officer (Peace and Freedom) |
|
16.0 | (37.2%) | ||
| Gerard "Gerry" Machado, Businessman/School Trustee (Republican) |
|
7.2 | (16.7%) | ||
| Jonathan Zwickel, Insurance Agent (Libertarian) |
|
9.2 | (21.4%) | Equalized | |
| Mike Villines, Member California Assembly (Republican) |
|
4.6 | (10.8%) | ||
| Benjamin Avila, Educator (Democratic) |
|
6.0 | (14.0%) | ||
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Joaquin valley (District 14)
5 candidates will be elected with 43 ballots cast.
Round 10
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Crockford, Retired Law Officer (Peace and Freedom) |
|
16.0 | (37.2%) | Elected |
| Gerard "Gerry" Machado, Businessman/School Trustee (Republican) |
|
7.2 | (16.7%) | Elected |
| Jonathan Zwickel, Insurance Agent (Libertarian) |
|
8.6 | (20.0%) | Elected |
| Mike Villines, Member California Assembly (Republican) |
|
5.2 | (12.2%) | Elected |
| Benjamin Avila, Educator (Democratic) |
|
6.0 | (14.0%) | Elected |
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
In the end, 100% of all cast ballots counted toward a winner. This compares to 100% if only the first-round votes were used. You should be able to see that the winners have a more equal mandate in the final round than in the first round.
Note that even the "highest first-round votes" method is more democratic than most methods used in US public elections: the "vote for 5" method, which allows the largest block of voters to dominate, and the district method, where choices are restricted to the one or two viable candidates within geographical boundaries drawn by the politicians in office.
Also, view the Ballot Depth info to see how much lower rankings contributed to the tally.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the San Joaquin valley (District 14)
5 candidates will be elected with 43 ballots cast.
Ballot Depth
This shows how much the lower rankings on ballots contributed to the winning candidates.
| Rank | Fraction of votes for winners | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st |
|
70.2% | |
| 2nd |
|
21.4% | |
| 3rd |
|
6.5% | |
| 4th |
|
1.9% | |