DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Central California (District 13)
5 candidates will be elected with 311 ballots cast.
Round 1
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Farrelly, Information Systems Manager (Democratic) |
|
164.0 | (52.7%) | Elected | |
| Danny Gilmore, Retired Highway Patrolman (Republican) |
|
123.0 | (39.5%) | ||
| Robert Bynum, School Board Trustee (Democratic) |
|
8.0 | (2.6%) | ||
| David Silva, Writer (Green) |
|
7.0 | (2.3%) | ||
| Jill Stone, Business Owner/ Mother (Libertarian) |
|
5.0 | (1.6%) | ||
| Maribel Vega, Educator (Democratic) |
|
2.0 | (0.6%) | ||
| Sharon Runner, Member of the State Assembly (Republican) |
|
1.0 | (0.3%) | ||
| Anthony Adams, Legislative Director/Businessman (Republican) |
|
1.0 | (0.3%) | ||
In the first round, the first choices on each ballot are tallied.
Desmond Farrelly, Information Systems Manager (Democratic) has enough votes to guarantee victory
(16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Central California (District 13)
5 candidates will be elected with 311 ballots cast.
Round 2
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Farrelly, Information Systems Manager (Democratic) |
|
51.8 | (16.7%) | ||
| Danny Gilmore, Retired Highway Patrolman (Republican) |
|
123.0 | (39.5%) | Elected | |
| Robert Bynum, School Board Trustee (Democratic) |
|
46.6 | (15.0%) | ||
| David Silva, Writer (Green) |
|
7.7 | (2.5%) | ||
| Jill Stone, Business Owner/ Mother (Libertarian) |
|
43.6 | (14.0%) | ||
| Maribel Vega, Educator (Democratic) |
|
2.7 | (0.9%) | ||
| Sharon Runner, Member of the State Assembly (Republican) |
|
2.4 | (0.8%) | ||
| Anthony Adams, Legislative Director/Businessman (Republican) |
|
19.2 | (6.2%) | ||
| Nicole Parra, Member of the Assembly 30th District (Democratic) |
|
9.1 | (2.9%) | ||
| Jean Fuller, School Superintendent/Businesswoman (Republican) |
|
1.4 | (0.5%) | ||
| Elliott Barkan, Professor/Writer (Democratic) |
|
3.5 | (1.1%) | ||
Danny Gilmore, Retired Highway Patrolman (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Central California (District 13)
5 candidates will be elected with 311 ballots cast.
Round 3
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Farrelly, Information Systems Manager (Democratic) |
|
51.8 | (16.7%) | |
| Danny Gilmore, Retired Highway Patrolman (Republican) |
|
113.0 | (36.3%) | |
| Robert Bynum, School Board Trustee (Democratic) |
|
46.6 | (15.0%) | |
| David Silva, Writer (Green) |
|
7.7 | (2.5%) | |
| Jill Stone, Business Owner/ Mother (Libertarian) |
|
43.6 | (14.0%) | |
| Maribel Vega, Educator (Democratic) |
|
3.7 | (1.2%) | |
| Sharon Runner, Member of the State Assembly (Republican) |
|
7.4 | (2.4%) | |
| Anthony Adams, Legislative Director/Businessman (Republican) |
|
20.2 | (6.5%) | |
| Nicole Parra, Member of the Assembly 30th District (Democratic) |
|
9.1 | (2.9%) | |
| Jean Fuller, School Superintendent/Businesswoman (Republican) |
|
4.4 | (1.4%) | |
| Elliott Barkan, Professor/Writer (Democratic) |
|
3.5 | (1.1%) | Defeated |
The last-place candidate (Elliott Barkan, Professor/Writer (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Central California (District 13)
5 candidates will be elected with 311 ballots cast.
Round 4
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Farrelly, Information Systems Manager (Democratic) |
|
51.8 | (16.7%) | |
| Danny Gilmore, Retired Highway Patrolman (Republican) |
|
113.0 | (36.3%) | |
| Robert Bynum, School Board Trustee (Democratic) |
|
48.0 | (15.4%) | |
| David Silva, Writer (Green) |
|
7.7 | (2.5%) | |
| Jill Stone, Business Owner/ Mother (Libertarian) |
|
43.6 | (14.0%) | |
| Maribel Vega, Educator (Democratic) |
|
3.7 | (1.2%) | Defeated |
| Sharon Runner, Member of the State Assembly (Republican) |
|
7.4 | (2.4%) | |
| Anthony Adams, Legislative Director/Businessman (Republican) |
|
20.2 | (6.5%) | |
| Nicole Parra, Member of the Assembly 30th District (Democratic) |
|
10.5 | (3.4%) | |
| Jean Fuller, School Superintendent/Businesswoman (Republican) |
|
5.1 | (1.6%) | |
The last-place candidate (Maribel Vega, Educator (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Central California (District 13)
5 candidates will be elected with 311 ballots cast.
Round 5
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Farrelly, Information Systems Manager (Democratic) |
|
51.8 | (16.7%) | |
| Danny Gilmore, Retired Highway Patrolman (Republican) |
|
114.0 | (36.7%) | |
| Robert Bynum, School Board Trustee (Democratic) |
|
50.7 | (16.3%) | |
| David Silva, Writer (Green) |
|
7.7 | (2.5%) | |
| Jill Stone, Business Owner/ Mother (Libertarian) |
|
43.6 | (14.0%) | |
| Sharon Runner, Member of the State Assembly (Republican) |
|
7.4 | (2.4%) | |
| Anthony Adams, Legislative Director/Businessman (Republican) |
|
20.2 | (6.5%) | |
| Nicole Parra, Member of the Assembly 30th District (Democratic) |
|
10.5 | (3.4%) | |
| Jean Fuller, School Superintendent/Businesswoman (Republican) |
|
5.1 | (1.6%) | Defeated |
The last-place candidate (Jean Fuller, School Superintendent/Businesswoman (Republican)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Central California (District 13)
5 candidates will be elected with 311 ballots cast.
Round 6
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Farrelly, Information Systems Manager (Democratic) |
|
51.8 | (16.7%) | |
| Danny Gilmore, Retired Highway Patrolman (Republican) |
|
115.0 | (37.0%) | |
| Robert Bynum, School Board Trustee (Democratic) |
|
50.7 | (16.3%) | |
| David Silva, Writer (Green) |
|
7.7 | (2.5%) | Defeated |
| Jill Stone, Business Owner/ Mother (Libertarian) |
|
43.6 | (14.0%) | |
| Sharon Runner, Member of the State Assembly (Republican) |
|
9.4 | (3.0%) | |
| Anthony Adams, Legislative Director/Businessman (Republican) |
|
20.2 | (6.5%) | |
| Nicole Parra, Member of the Assembly 30th District (Democratic) |
|
12.6 | (4.1%) | |
The last-place candidate (David Silva, Writer (Green)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Central California (District 13)
5 candidates will be elected with 311 ballots cast.
Round 7
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Farrelly, Information Systems Manager (Democratic) |
|
51.8 | (16.8%) | |
| Danny Gilmore, Retired Highway Patrolman (Republican) |
|
115.0 | (37.2%) | |
| Robert Bynum, School Board Trustee (Democratic) |
|
50.7 | (16.4%) | |
| Jill Stone, Business Owner/ Mother (Libertarian) |
|
44.3 | (14.3%) | |
| Sharon Runner, Member of the State Assembly (Republican) |
|
9.4 | (3.0%) | Defeated |
| Anthony Adams, Legislative Director/Businessman (Republican) |
|
20.2 | (6.5%) | |
| Nicole Parra, Member of the Assembly 30th District (Democratic) |
|
17.6 | (5.7%) | |
| None of these |
|
2.0 | (0.6%) | |
The last-place candidate (Sharon Runner, Member of the State Assembly (Republican)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Central California (District 13)
5 candidates will be elected with 311 ballots cast.
Round 8
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Farrelly, Information Systems Manager (Democratic) |
|
51.8 | (16.8%) | |
| Danny Gilmore, Retired Highway Patrolman (Republican) |
|
121.0 | (39.2%) | |
| Robert Bynum, School Board Trustee (Democratic) |
|
51.4 | (16.6%) | |
| Jill Stone, Business Owner/ Mother (Libertarian) |
|
44.3 | (14.3%) | |
| Anthony Adams, Legislative Director/Businessman (Republican) |
|
22.9 | (7.4%) | |
| Nicole Parra, Member of the Assembly 30th District (Democratic) |
|
17.6 | (5.7%) | Defeated |
| None of these |
|
2.0 | (0.6%) | |
The last-place candidate (Nicole Parra, Member of the Assembly 30th District (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Central California (District 13)
5 candidates will be elected with 311 ballots cast.
Round 9
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Farrelly, Information Systems Manager (Democratic) |
|
53.9 | (17.6%) | ||
| Danny Gilmore, Retired Highway Patrolman (Republican) |
|
121.0 | (39.4%) | Elected | |
| Robert Bynum, School Board Trustee (Democratic) |
|
61.4 | (20.0%) | ||
| Jill Stone, Business Owner/ Mother (Libertarian) |
|
47.1 | (15.3%) | ||
| Anthony Adams, Legislative Director/Businessman (Republican) |
|
23.6 | (7.7%) | ||
| None of these |
|
4.0 | (1.3%) | ||
Danny Gilmore, Retired Highway Patrolman (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Central California (District 13)
5 candidates will be elected with 311 ballots cast.
Round 10
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Farrelly, Information Systems Manager (Democratic) |
|
53.9 | (17.6%) | Elected |
| Danny Gilmore, Retired Highway Patrolman (Republican) |
|
121.0 | (39.4%) | Elected |
| Robert Bynum, School Board Trustee (Democratic) |
|
61.4 | (20.0%) | Elected |
| Jill Stone, Business Owner/ Mother (Libertarian) |
|
47.1 | (15.3%) | Elected |
| Anthony Adams, Legislative Director/Businessman (Republican) |
|
23.6 | (7.7%) | Elected |
| None of these |
|
4.0 | (1.3%) | |
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
In the end, 98.7% of all cast ballots counted toward a winner. This compares to 98.7% if only the first-round votes were used. You should be able to see that the winners have a more equal mandate in the final round than in the first round.
Note that even the "highest first-round votes" method is more democratic than most methods used in US public elections: the "vote for 5" method, which allows the largest block of voters to dominate, and the district method, where choices are restricted to the one or two viable candidates within geographical boundaries drawn by the politicians in office.
Also, view the Ballot Depth info to see how much lower rankings contributed to the tally.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from Central California (District 13)
5 candidates will be elected with 311 ballots cast.
Ballot Depth
This shows how much the lower rankings on ballots contributed to the winning candidates.
| Rank | Fraction of votes for winners | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st |
|
61.5% | |
| 2nd |
|
32.0% | |
| 3rd |
|
3.3% | |
| 4th |
|
1.2% | |
| 5th |
|
1.7% | |
| 6th |
|
0.2% | |