DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)
5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.
Round 1
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican) |
|
4.0 | (50.0%) | Elected | |
| Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican) |
|
2.0 | (25.0%) | ||
| Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (12.5%) | ||
| Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican) |
|
1.0 | (12.5%) | ||
In the first round, the first choices on each ballot are tallied.
Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory
(16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)
5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.
Round 2
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican) |
|
1.3 | (16.7%) | ||
| Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican) |
|
2.0 | (25.0%) | Elected | |
| Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (12.5%) | ||
| Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican) |
|
2.8 | (34.7%) | ||
| Jose Solorio, City Councilmember, City of Santa Ana (Democratic) |
|
0.9 | (11.1%) | ||
Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)
5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.
Round 3
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican) |
|
1.3 | (16.7%) | ||
| Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican) |
|
1.3 | (16.7%) | ||
| Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (12.5%) | ||
| Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican) |
|
2.8 | (34.7%) | Elected | |
| Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican) |
|
0.3 | (4.2%) | ||
| Jose Solorio, City Councilmember, City of Santa Ana (Democratic) |
|
0.9 | (11.1%) | ||
| Ryan Williams, College Student (Republican) |
|
0.3 | (4.2%) | ||
Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)
5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.
Round 4
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican) |
|
1.3 | (16.7%) | |
| Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican) |
|
1.3 | (16.7%) | |
| Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (12.5%) | |
| Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican) |
|
1.3 | (16.7%) | |
| Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican) |
|
1.1 | (13.2%) | |
| Jose Solorio, City Councilmember, City of Santa Ana (Democratic) |
|
0.9 | (11.1%) | Defeated |
| Ryan Williams, College Student (Republican) |
|
1.1 | (13.2%) | |
The last-place candidate (Jose Solorio, City Councilmember, City of Santa Ana (Democratic)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)
5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.
Round 5
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican) |
|
1.3 | (16.7%) | ||
| Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican) |
|
1.3 | (16.7%) | ||
| Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic) |
|
1.0 | (12.5%) | ||
| Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican) |
|
1.3 | (16.7%) | ||
| Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican) |
|
1.9 | (24.3%) | Elected | |
| Ryan Williams, College Student (Republican) |
|
1.1 | (13.2%) | ||
Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)
5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.
Round 6
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican) |
|
1.3 | (16.7%) | |
| Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican) |
|
1.3 | (16.7%) | |
| Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic) |
|
1.6 | (20.1%) | |
| Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican) |
|
1.3 | (16.7%) | |
| Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican) |
|
1.3 | (16.7%) | |
| Ryan Williams, College Student (Republican) |
|
1.1 | (13.2%) | Defeated |
The last-place candidate (Ryan Williams, College Student (Republican)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)
5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.
Round 7
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican) |
|
2.1 | (25.7%) | Equalized | |
| Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican) |
|
1.7 | (20.8%) | ||
| Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic) |
|
1.6 | (20.1%) | ||
| Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican) |
|
1.3 | (16.7%) | ||
| Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican) |
|
1.3 | (16.7%) | ||
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)
5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.
Round 8
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican) |
|
1.6 | (20.0%) | ||
| Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican) |
|
1.7 | (20.8%) | ||
| Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic) |
|
1.6 | (20.1%) | ||
| Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican) |
|
1.8 | (22.4%) | Equalized | |
| Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican) |
|
1.3 | (16.7%) | ||
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)
5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.
Round 9
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican) |
|
1.6 | (20.0%) | ||
| Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican) |
|
1.7 | (20.8%) | Equalized | |
| Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic) |
|
1.6 | (20.1%) | ||
| Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican) |
|
1.6 | (20.0%) | ||
| Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican) |
|
1.5 | (19.0%) | ||
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)
5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.
Round 10
| Candidate | Votes | Status | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican) |
|
1.6 | (20.0%) | ||
| Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican) |
|
1.6 | (20.0%) | ||
| Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic) |
|
1.6 | (20.1%) | Equalized | |
| Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican) |
|
1.6 | (20.0%) | ||
| Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican) |
|
1.6 | (19.9%) | ||
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.
Go to the next round.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)
5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.
Round 11
| Candidate | Votes | Status | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jackson, Satellite Project Manager (Republican) |
|
1.6 | (20.0%) | Elected |
| Jim Silva, Orange County Supervisor (Republican) |
|
1.6 | (20.0%) | Elected |
| Betty Karnette, California State Assemblymember (Democratic) |
|
1.6 | (20.0%) | Elected |
| Van Tran, California State Assemblyman (Republican) |
|
1.6 | (20.0%) | Elected |
| Margherita Underhill, Attorney/Businessowner/Mother (Republican) |
|
1.6 | (20.0%) | Elected |
At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
In the end, 100% of all cast ballots counted toward a winner. This compares to 100% if only the first-round votes were used. You should be able to see that the winners have a more equal mandate in the final round than in the first round.
Note that even the "highest first-round votes" method is more democratic than most methods used in US public elections: the "vote for 5" method, which allows the largest block of voters to dominate, and the district method, where choices are restricted to the one or two viable candidates within geographical boundaries drawn by the politicians in office.
Also, view the Ballot Depth info to see how much lower rankings contributed to the tally.
DemoChoice Web Poll: Assembly members from the Long Beach area (District 9)
5 candidates will be elected with 8 ballots cast.
Ballot Depth
This shows how much the lower rankings on ballots contributed to the winning candidates.
| Rank | Fraction of votes for winners | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st |
|
65.0% | |
| 2nd |
|
11.8% | |
| 3rd |
|
11.1% | |
| 5th |
|
4.5% | |
| 6th |
|
7.5% | |