DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 1

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Andy Beshear  Chart color  8.0  (32.0%)  Elected
Gavin Newsom  Chart color  4.0  (16.0%)   
Kamala Harris  Chart color  4.0  (16.0%)   
Josh Shapiro  Chart color  3.0  (12.0%)   
Gretchen Whitmer  Chart color  2.0  (8.0%)   
Wes Moore  Chart color  2.0  (8.0%)   
J. B. Pritzker  Chart color  1.0  (4.0%)   
Pete Buttigieg  Chart color  1.0  (4.0%)   
Pie chart

In the first round, the first choices on each ballot are tallied.
Andy Beshear has enough votes to guarantee victory (8.3%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 2

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Andy Beshear  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Gavin Newsom  Chart color  4.0  (16.0%)   
Kamala Harris  Chart color  4.0  (16.0%)  Elected
Josh Shapiro  Chart color  3.0  (12.0%)   
Gretchen Whitmer  Chart color  3.4  (13.7%)   
Wes Moore  Chart color  2.7  (10.9%)   
J. B. Pritzker  Chart color  1.7  (6.9%)   
Pete Buttigieg  Chart color  3.1  (12.6%)   
Ruben Gallego  Chart color  0.7  (2.9%)   
Pie chart

Kamala Harris has enough votes to guarantee victory (8.3%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 3

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Andy Beshear  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Gavin Newsom  Chart color  4.0  (16.0%)  Elected
Kamala Harris  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Josh Shapiro  Chart color  3.0  (12.0%)   
Gretchen Whitmer  Chart color  3.4  (13.7%)   
Wes Moore  Chart color  2.7  (10.9%)   
J. B. Pritzker  Chart color  3.4  (13.8%)   
Pete Buttigieg  Chart color  3.1  (12.6%)   
Ruben Gallego  Chart color  0.7  (2.9%)   
Pie chart

Gavin Newsom has enough votes to guarantee victory (8.3%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 4

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Andy Beshear  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Gavin Newsom  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Kamala Harris  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Josh Shapiro  Chart color  3.0  (12.0%)   
Gretchen Whitmer  Chart color  3.4  (13.7%)   
Wes Moore  Chart color  2.7  (10.9%)   
J. B. Pritzker  Chart color  3.4  (13.8%)  Equalized
Pete Buttigieg  Chart color  3.1  (12.6%)   
Cory Booker  Chart color  1.3  (5.2%)   
Stacey Abrams  Chart color  0.4  (1.7%)   
Ruben Gallego  Chart color  0.7  (2.9%)   
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 5

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Andy Beshear  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Gavin Newsom  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Kamala Harris  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Josh Shapiro  Chart color  3.0  (12.0%)   
Gretchen Whitmer  Chart color  3.4  (13.7%)  Equalized
Wes Moore  Chart color  2.7  (10.9%)   
J. B. Pritzker  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Pete Buttigieg  Chart color  3.1  (12.6%)   
Cory Booker  Chart color  2.5  (9.9%)   
Stacey Abrams  Chart color  0.4  (1.7%)   
Ruben Gallego  Chart color  0.7  (2.9%)   
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 6

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Andy Beshear  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Gavin Newsom  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Kamala Harris  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Josh Shapiro  Chart color  3.0  (12.0%)   
Gretchen Whitmer  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Wes Moore  Chart color  2.7  (10.9%)   
J. B. Pritzker  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Pete Buttigieg  Chart color  3.1  (12.6%)  Equalized
Cory Booker  Chart color  2.5  (9.9%)   
Stacey Abrams  Chart color  0.4  (1.7%)   
Ruben Gallego  Chart color  1.9  (7.5%)   
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 7

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Andy Beshear  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Gavin Newsom  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Kamala Harris  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Josh Shapiro  Chart color  3.0  (12.0%)  Equalized
Gretchen Whitmer  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Wes Moore  Chart color  2.7  (10.9%)   
J. B. Pritzker  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Pete Buttigieg  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Cory Booker  Chart color  2.5  (9.9%)   
Stacey Abrams  Chart color  0.4  (1.7%)   
Ruben Gallego  Chart color  2.8  (11.0%)   
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 8

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Andy Beshear  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Gavin Newsom  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Kamala Harris  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Josh Shapiro  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Gretchen Whitmer  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Wes Moore  Chart color  2.7  (10.9%)   
J. B. Pritzker  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Pete Buttigieg  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Cory Booker  Chart color  2.5  (9.9%)   
Stacey Abrams  Chart color  1.2  (4.6%)   
Ruben Gallego  Chart color  2.8  (11.0%)  Equalized
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 9

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Andy Beshear  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Gavin Newsom  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Kamala Harris  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Josh Shapiro  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Gretchen Whitmer  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Wes Moore  Chart color  2.7  (10.9%)  Equalized
J. B. Pritzker  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Pete Buttigieg  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Cory Booker  Chart color  2.5  (9.9%)   
Stacey Abrams  Chart color  1.6  (6.5%)   
Ruben Gallego  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 10

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Andy Beshear  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Gavin Newsom  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Kamala Harris  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Josh Shapiro  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Gretchen Whitmer  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Wes Moore  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
J. B. Pritzker  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Pete Buttigieg  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Cory Booker  Chart color  2.5  (9.9%)  Equalized
Stacey Abrams  Chart color  2.1  (8.3%)   
Ruben Gallego  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)   
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

Transfers are made from each winner until they all have an equal share of the votes.

Go to the next round.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Round 11

Legend
Candidate Votes Status
Andy Beshear  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)  Elected
Gavin Newsom  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)  Elected
Kamala Harris  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)  Elected
Josh Shapiro  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)  Elected
Gretchen Whitmer  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)  Elected
Wes Moore  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)  Elected
J. B. Pritzker  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)  Elected
Pete Buttigieg  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)  Elected
Cory Booker  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)  Elected
Stacey Abrams  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)  Elected
Ruben Gallego  Chart color  2.3  (9.1%)  Elected
Pie chart

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.

In the end, 100% of all cast ballots counted toward a winner. This compares to 100% if only the first-round votes were used. You should be able to see that the winners have a more equal mandate in the final round than in the first round.

Note that even the "highest first-round votes" method is more democratic than most methods used in US public elections: the "vote for 11" method, which allows the largest block of voters to dominate, and the district method, where choices are restricted to the one or two viable candidates within geographical boundaries drawn by the politicians in office.

Also, view the Ballot Depth info to see how much lower rankings contributed to the tally.
















 

DemoChoice Web Poll: Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

11 candidates will be elected with 25 ballots cast.


Ballot Depth

This shows how much the lower rankings on ballots contributed to the winning candidates.

Rank Fraction of votes for winners
1st    60.4% 
2nd    9.0% 
3rd    9.1% 
4th    1.1% 
5th    2.0% 
6th    5.8% 
7th    1.1% 
8th    1.3% 
9th    6.4% 
10th    0.6% 
11th    3.3% 
Pie chart