DemoChoice Web Poll: GOLDDERBY DIRECTING PREDICTIONS
5 candidates will be elected with 73 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 1 Legend  
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) 
 
 58.0  (79.5%)  Elected
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) 
 
 9.0  (12.3%)   
Damien Chazelle (First Man) 
 
 3.0  (4.1%)   
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) 
 
 2.0  (2.7%)   
Ryan Coogler (Black Panther) 
 
 1.0  (1.4%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

In the first round, the first choices on each ballot are tallied.
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: GOLDDERBY DIRECTING PREDICTIONS
5 candidates will be elected with 73 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 2 Legend  
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) 
 
 34.3  (47.0%)  Elected
Damien Chazelle (First Man) 
 
 7.7  (10.6%)   
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) 
 
 8.3  (11.4%)   
Ryan Coogler (Black Panther) 
 
 1.8  (2.5%)   
Peter Farrelly (Green Book) 
 
 1.6  (2.2%)   
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) 
 
 4.7  (6.5%)   
Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk) 
 
 1.6  (2.2%)   
Marielle Heller (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) 
 
 0.8  (1.1%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: GOLDDERBY DIRECTING PREDICTIONS
5 candidates will be elected with 73 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 3 Legend  
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Damien Chazelle (First Man) 
 
 16.7  (22.9%)  Elected
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) 
 
 10.4  (14.2%)   
Ryan Coogler (Black Panther) 
 
 2.5  (3.4%)   
Peter Farrelly (Green Book) 
 
 3.7  (5.0%)   
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) 
 
 11.7  (16.0%)   
Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk) 
 
 3.0  (4.1%)   
Marielle Heller (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) 
 
 0.8  (1.1%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

Damien Chazelle (First Man) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: GOLDDERBY DIRECTING PREDICTIONS
5 candidates will be elected with 73 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 4 Legend  
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Damien Chazelle (First Man) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) 
 
 12.2  (16.6%)   
Ryan Coogler (Black Panther) 
 
 2.5  (3.4%)   
Peter Farrelly (Green Book) 
 
 4.0  (5.5%)   
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) 
 
 12.7  (17.4%)  Elected
Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk) 
 
 4.4  (6.0%)   
Marielle Heller (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) 
 
 0.8  (1.1%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: GOLDDERBY DIRECTING PREDICTIONS
5 candidates will be elected with 73 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 5 Legend  
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Damien Chazelle (First Man) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) 
 
 12.7  (17.4%)   
Ryan Coogler (Black Panther) 
 
 2.5  (3.4%)   
Peter Farrelly (Green Book) 
 
 4.0  (5.5%)  Defeated
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk) 
 
 4.4  (6.0%)   
Marielle Heller (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) 
 
 0.8  (1.1%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

No candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory (16.7%), so the last-place candidate (Peter Farrelly (Green Book)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: GOLDDERBY DIRECTING PREDICTIONS
5 candidates will be elected with 73 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 6 Legend  
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) 
 
 14.0  (19.2%)   
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Damien Chazelle (First Man) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) 
 
 12.7  (17.4%)   
Ryan Coogler (Black Panther) 
 
 2.5  (3.4%)  Defeated
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk) 
 
 5.1  (6.9%)   
Adam McKay (Vice) 
 
 1.5  (2.0%)   
Marielle Heller (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) 
 
 0.8  (1.1%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

No candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory (16.7%), so the last-place candidate (Ryan Coogler (Black Panther)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: GOLDDERBY DIRECTING PREDICTIONS
5 candidates will be elected with 73 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 7 Legend  
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) 
 
 14.7  (20.1%)   
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Damien Chazelle (First Man) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) 
 
 12.7  (17.4%)   
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk) 
 
 5.1  (6.9%)  Defeated
Adam McKay (Vice) 
 
 2.5  (3.4%)   
Marielle Heller (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) 
 
 0.8  (1.1%)   
John Krasinski (A Quiet Place) 
 
 0.8  (1.1%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

No candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory (16.7%), so the last-place candidate (Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: GOLDDERBY DIRECTING PREDICTIONS
5 candidates will be elected with 73 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 8 Legend  
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) 
 
 18.3  (25.0%)   
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Damien Chazelle (First Man) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) 
 
 12.7  (17.4%)   
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Adam McKay (Vice) 
 
 3.2  (4.3%)  Defeated
Marielle Heller (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) 
 
 0.8  (1.1%)   
John Krasinski (A Quiet Place) 
 
 0.8  (1.1%)   
Steve McQueen (Widows) 
 
 0.8  (1.1%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

No candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory (16.7%), so the last-place candidate (Adam McKay (Vice)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: GOLDDERBY DIRECTING PREDICTIONS
5 candidates will be elected with 73 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 9 Legend  
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) 
 
 21.4  (29.4%)   
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Damien Chazelle (First Man) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) 
 
 12.7  (17.4%)   
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Marielle Heller (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) 
 
 0.8  (1.1%)  Defeated
John Krasinski (A Quiet Place) 
 
 0.8  (1.1%)   
Steve McQueen (Widows) 
 
 0.8  (1.1%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

No candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory (16.7%), so the last-place candidate (Marielle Heller (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: GOLDDERBY DIRECTING PREDICTIONS
5 candidates will be elected with 73 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 10 Legend  
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) 
 
 22.2  (30.5%)   
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Damien Chazelle (First Man) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) 
 
 12.7  (17.4%)   
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
John Krasinski (A Quiet Place) 
 
 0.8  (1.1%)  Defeated
Steve McQueen (Widows) 
 
 0.8  (1.1%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

No candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory (16.7%), so the last-place candidate (John Krasinski (A Quiet Place)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: GOLDDERBY DIRECTING PREDICTIONS
5 candidates will be elected with 73 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 11 Legend  
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) 
 
 23.0  (31.5%)   
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Damien Chazelle (First Man) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) 
 
 12.7  (17.4%)   
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Steve McQueen (Widows) 
 
 0.8  (1.1%)  Defeated
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

No candidate has the number of votes needed to guarantee victory (16.7%), so the last-place candidate (Steve McQueen (Widows)) is eliminated. Ballots for that candidate are counted toward their next highest ranking.

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: GOLDDERBY DIRECTING PREDICTIONS
5 candidates will be elected with 73 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 12 Legend  
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) 
 
 23.8  (32.6%)  Elected
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Damien Chazelle (First Man) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) 
 
 12.7  (17.4%)   
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) 
 
 12.2  (16.7%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: GOLDDERBY DIRECTING PREDICTIONS
5 candidates will be elected with 73 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 13 Legend  
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) 
 
 14.6  (20.0%)   
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) 
 
 18.2  (24.9%)  Elected
Damien Chazelle (First Man) 
 
 13.8  (18.9%)   
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) 
 
 13.3  (18.3%)   
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) 
 
 13.0  (17.9%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: GOLDDERBY DIRECTING PREDICTIONS
5 candidates will be elected with 73 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 14 Legend  
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) 
 
 14.6  (20.0%)   
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) 
 
 14.6  (20.0%)   
Damien Chazelle (First Man) 
 
 15.5  (21.2%)  Elected
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) 
 
 13.7  (18.8%)   
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) 
 
 14.6  (20.0%)   
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

Damien Chazelle (First Man) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: GOLDDERBY DIRECTING PREDICTIONS
5 candidates will be elected with 73 ballots cast.

First Round | Next Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 15 Legend  
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) 
 
 14.6  (20.0%)   
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) 
 
 14.6  (20.0%)   
Damien Chazelle (First Man) 
 
 14.6  (20.0%)   
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) 
 
 14.2  (19.5%)   
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) 
 
 15.0  (20.5%)  Elected
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) has enough votes to guarantee victory (16.7%) and is declared a winner.To ensure that everyone's vote counts equally, votes that exceed that threshold are counted toward their next highest ranking (this is actually done by counting a fraction of ballots cast for the winning candidate).

Go to the next round.














 
 
DemoChoice Web Poll: GOLDDERBY DIRECTING PREDICTIONS
5 candidates will be elected with 73 ballots cast.

First Round | Final Round | Previous Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Round 16 Legend  
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) 
 
 14.6  (20.0%)  Elected
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) 
 
 14.6  (20.0%)  Elected
Damien Chazelle (First Man) 
 
 14.6  (20.0%)  Elected
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) 
 
 14.6  (20.0%)  Elected
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) 
 
 14.6  (20.0%)  Elected
  pies need GD2 extension

Note: If this doesn't make sense, try reading the How it works page, or ask a question.

At this point, the number of remaining candidates equals the number of remaining seats, so the remaining candidates are declared elected.
In the end, 100% of all cast ballots counted toward a winner. This compares to 100% if only the first-round votes were used. You should be able to see that the winners have a more equal mandate in the final round than in the first round.

Note that even the "highest first-round votes" method is more democratic than most methods used in US public elections: the "vote for 5" method, which allows the largest block of voters to dominate, and the district method, where choices are restricted to the one or two viable candidates within geographical boundaries drawn by the politicians in office.

Also, view the Ballot Depth info to see how much lower rankings contributed to the tally.

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DemoChoice Web Poll: GOLDDERBY DIRECTING PREDICTIONS
5 candidates will be elected with 73 ballots cast.

First Round | Last Round | Ballot Depth | How it works | Main Page


Ballot Depth: This shows how much the lower rankings on ballots contributed to the winning candidates.

Rank   Fraction of votes for winners
1st 
 
38.3%   
2nd 
 
31.4%   
3rd 
 
23.2%   
4th 
 
5.2%   
5th 
 
1.9%   
  pies need GD